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Penumbra vs Toast: Which Stock Looks Stronger in 2026?

Toast holds the cleaner structural position, with the lead spread across profitability and valuation. Penumbra still has the edge on stability, which keeps the comparison from looking entirely one-sided. The market setup is currently leaning toward Penumbra, which does not confirm the structural lead. That leaves a split case: the structural lead stays with Toast, but the market is not currently confirming it.

The comparison is based on similar long-term financial trajectories, not sector labels. Both peer scores are relative to the Russell 1000 universe, making them directly comparable.

Updated 2026-05-17

This is not just a one-metric split: both profitability and valuation materially support the lead. Toast, Inc. leads by 24 points on the overall comparison score.

Trajectory Similarity
0.71
Similar
Peer-set rank: #12
within Penumbra, Inc.'s functional peer set

This comparison is anchored in long-term financial trajectory similarity within the selected peer universe.

A solid similarity means the pair shares a clearly comparable long-term financial profile, even if individual dimensions still differ.

The strongest overlap appears in investment intensity and recent revenue growth.

Similarity drivers
investment intensityrecent revenue growth
How to read the score
0.85–1.00 · Very similar0.70–0.84 · Similar0.55–0.69 · Moderately similarbelow 0.55 · Loose match
Peer-Relative Score
PEN
Penumbra, Inc.
38
Peer-Score
Signal qualitylow
Peer basis: Russell 1000
vs
TOST
Toast, Inc.
62
Peer-Score
Signal qualitylow
Peer basis: Russell 1000

Scores reflect position relative to comparable companies with similar long-term financial trajectories.

Score differences across key dimensions.

Dimension spread: PEN vs TOST Profitability 42 83 Stability 54 24 Valuation 25 62 Growth 36 72 PEN TOST
Gap Ranking
#1 Profitability +41
#2 Valuation +37
#3 Growth +36
#4 Stability +30
Price Setup

Left means cheaper relative valuation. Higher means stronger structure.

Price setup map for PEN and TOST Stronger + cheaper Stronger + richer Weaker + cheaper Weaker + richer PENTOST Relative valuation Structural strength

Toast, Inc. looks stronger on relative valuation, while the broader price setup remains mixed.

Valuation position uses peer-relative PE percentile (idx_pct_pe) where available.

Entry today — historical context

Where PEN and TOST each sit in their own 4.7-year price and valuation history.

BASED ON 4.7-YEAR HISTORY PEN Elevated · below norm 0th 50th 100th 46 pct gap TOST Neutral · below norm 0th 50th 100th 92nd 45th
Today TOST sits in the lower-middle of its own 5-year history (45th percentile), while PEN sits higher in its own history (92nd). Within each stock's own 5-year context, TOST is at a historically more favourable entry position than PEN. This reflects entry timing, not which company is structurally stronger — peer-relative analysis is a separate question addressed above.

Describes historical entry positioning only. Descriptive — not investment advice.

Relative Position vs Comparable Companies
Profitability
Both rank well on profitability, but Toast, Inc. still holds a clear edge.
Valuation
On valuation, Toast, Inc. is positioned higher in the group, while Penumbra, Inc. is closer to the middle.
Profitability — Dominant Gap
PEN
42
TOST
83
Gap+41in favour of TOST

Capital efficiency adds support, with a 1710-point ROIC advantage.

What keeps the gap from being one-sided

Stability still tilts materially toward Penumbra, Inc., which stops the result from looking dominant across the whole profile.

What this means for the comparison

The lead is built on both profitability and valuation — though stability still provides a counterweight.

Explore full peer positioning in AssetNext

Break down the PEN vs TOST comparison across all dimensions with the full interactive tool.

Explore full breakdown →
Other comparisons with conflicting dimension signals

Explore how PEN and TOST each compare against other companies in their peer groups.

Rule-based, descriptive analysis only. Derived from peer percentile dimensions. Not investment advice. Peer groups are determined algorithmically based on structural similarity — not by sector classification alone.

How AssetNext Peer Scores Work

AssetNext scores reflect each company's structural position within its functional peer group — not a ranking against all stocks simultaneously. Peers are identified by similarity across eight financial dimensions, including revenue growth trajectory, margin structure, capital intensity, and earnings stability. A score of 75 means the company ranks in the top quartile within its own peer group, not the entire market.

Four dimension scores drive the overall peer score: Growth (revenue trajectory and expansion dynamics), Quality (margin structure and capital efficiency), Valuation (peer-relative pricing on standard multiples), and Stability (earnings consistency and financial predictability). Each dimension is scored 0–100 relative to the peer group, then combined into an overall peer score using equal weighting.

Because scores are peer-relative, the same company can have slightly different scores in different index universes. On comparison pages, both companies are shown within their shared peer universe wherever possible — so the scores are directly comparable. The peer basis is stated on each score card.

Scores are recalculated periodically as underlying financial data is updated. All analysis is descriptive and rule-based — AssetNext describes structural realities and never issues buy, sell or hold recommendations.