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Penumbra vs Toast: Which Stock Looks Stronger in 2026?

Penumbra holds the cleaner structural position, with profitability as the main driver and valuation adding further support. Toast still has the edge on valuation, which keeps the comparison from looking entirely one-sided. The market setup broadly confirms the structural lead — Penumbra holds the more constructive position. That puts structure and market broadly in agreement — Penumbra's lead looks more confirmed than conflicted.

The comparison is based on similar long-term financial trajectories, not sector labels.

Updated 2026-04-05

Profitability still does most of the heavy lifting in this comparison. Penumbra, Inc. leads by 10 points on the overall comparison score.

Trajectory Similarity
0.72
Similar
Peer-set rank: #10
within Penumbra, Inc.'s functional peer set

This comparison is anchored in long-term financial trajectory similarity within the selected peer universe.

A solid similarity means the pair shares a clearly comparable long-term financial profile, even if individual dimensions still differ.

The strongest overlap appears in investment intensity and recent revenue growth.

Similarity drivers
investment intensityrecent revenue growth
How to read the score
0.85–1.00 · Very similar0.70–0.84 · Similar0.55–0.69 · Moderately similarbelow 0.55 · Loose match
Peer-Relative Score
PEN
Penumbra, Inc.
52
Peer-Score
Signal qualityHigh
vs
TOST
Toast, Inc.
42
Peer-Score
Signal qualityHigh

Scores reflect position relative to comparable companies with similar long-term financial trajectories.

The clearest separation appears in profitability.

Dimension spread: PEN vs TOST Profitability 67 25 Stability 45 29 Valuation 25 44 Growth 77 79 PEN TOST
Gap Ranking
#1 Profitability +42
#2 Valuation +19
#3 Stability +16
#4 Growth +2
Price Setup

Left means cheaper relative valuation. Higher means stronger structure.

Price setup map for PEN and TOST Stronger + cheaper Stronger + richer Weaker + cheaper Weaker + richer PENTOST Relative valuation Structural strength

Penumbra, Inc. is stronger, but the price setup still looks more supportive for Toast, Inc..

Valuation position uses peer-relative PE percentile (idx_pct_pe) where available.

Relative Position vs Comparable Companies
Profitability
Penumbra, Inc. ranks near the top of the group on profitability; Toast, Inc. sits in the weaker half.
Valuation
Toast, Inc. sits higher in the group on valuation, adding to the overall structural advantage.
Profitability — Dominant Gap
PEN
67
TOST
25
Gap+42in favour of PEN

The profitability lead is mainly driven by a 9.9-point operating margin advantage.

What keeps the gap from being one-sided

Absolute pricing still looks more supportive for Toast, with a forward P/E that is 35 turns lower there.

What this means for the comparison

The profitability lead is clear, but pricing and valuation still pull in the other direction — the result holds, but not without friction.

Explore full peer positioning in AssetNext

Break down the PEN vs TOST comparison across all dimensions with the full interactive tool.

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Similar profitability-driven comparisons

Explore how PEN and TOST each compare against other companies in their peer groups.

Rule-based, descriptive analysis only. Derived from peer percentile dimensions. Not investment advice. Peer groups are determined algorithmically based on structural similarity — not by sector classification alone.

How AssetNext Peer Scores Work

AssetNext scores reflect each company's structural position within its functional peer group — not a ranking against all stocks simultaneously. Peers are identified by similarity across eight financial dimensions, including revenue growth trajectory, margin structure, capital intensity, and earnings stability. A score of 75 means the company ranks in the top quartile within its own peer group, not the entire market.

Four dimension scores drive the overall peer score: Growth (revenue trajectory and expansion dynamics), Quality (margin structure and capital efficiency), Valuation (peer-relative pricing on standard multiples), and Stability (earnings consistency and financial predictability). Each dimension is scored 0–100 relative to the peer group, then combined into an overall peer score using equal weighting.

Scores are recalculated periodically as underlying financial data is updated. All analysis is descriptive and rule-based — AssetNext describes structural realities and never issues buy, sell or hold recommendations.