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Toast, Inc. (TOST) — Structural Peer Analysis

Toast, Inc. ranks in an above-average position in its peer group, with stability as the main structural constraint. The market setup has weakened, with clear trend damage and relative performance under pressure. Price action is not yet fully confirming the underlying structural profile.

Updated 2026-05-17 · RUSSELL1000
ENTRY TODAY
Neutral price zonebelow norm
TODAY (4.7y history)45th pct today
0th50th100th
Today the stock sits in a broadly neutral part of its long-term range and its multiple is below its own norm.
Describes where today's entry sits in the stock's own long-term price and valuation history. Descriptive only. Not investment advice.
Dimension Profile

Peer-relative scores, weakest to strongest

Weakest Stability 24
Bottom 25% of peers
Weak Valuation 62
Above median
Moderate Growth 72
Top 25% of peers
Strongest Profitability 83
Top 10% of peers
Peer-Relative Score
62
Peer-Score
Above-average peer position
Signal qualitylow
Structural Read

Premium for Growth, Fragile on Volatility

Toast, Inc. provides technology platforms for restaurants, including point-of-sale systems and operational software. Its solutions integrate payments, analytics, and AI-driven tools tailored for the hospitality sector.

TOST is priced as a tech growth name with an innovation premium, with the market quick to penalize any signs of operational inconsistency or margin volatility. With revenue growth of 21.9% year-over-year, the market interprets each AI-driven advance as confirmation of the tech narrative, which can overshadow the risks from execution challenges. By integrating point-of-sale, financial services, and AI solutions specifically for restaurants, TOST’s business model is positioned for maximum market visibility—leading investors to scrutinize every aspect of delivery and react strongly to any perceived weakness. The market rewards this integration with a premium, even as one-year volatility stands at 54.7%, indicating instability at the sharper end of the peer set. A margin setback or AI product miss triggers sharp repricing.

AssetNext · 2026-05-15 · Rule-based and descriptive. Not investment advice.

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This analysis is rule-based and descriptive. Peer-relative scores are derived from functional peer group comparisons using publicly available financial data. Scores reflect structural positioning only and do not constitute investment advice, a buy or sell recommendation, or a forecast of future performance. AssetNext peer scores are recalculated periodically as new data becomes available.

How AssetNext Peer Scores Work

AssetNext scores reflect each company's structural position within its functional peer group — not a ranking against all stocks simultaneously. Peers are identified by similarity across eight financial dimensions, including revenue growth trajectory, margin structure, capital intensity, and earnings stability. A score of 75 means the company ranks in the top quartile within its own peer group, not the entire market.

Four dimension scores drive the overall peer score: Growth (revenue trajectory and expansion dynamics), Quality (margin structure and capital efficiency), Valuation (peer-relative pricing on standard multiples), and Stability (earnings consistency and financial predictability). Each dimension is scored 0–100 relative to the peer group, then combined into an overall peer score using equal weighting.

Because scores are peer-relative, the same company can have slightly different scores in different index universes. On comparison pages, both companies are shown within their shared peer universe wherever possible — so the scores are directly comparable. The peer basis is stated on each score card.

Scores are recalculated periodically as underlying financial data is updated. All analysis is descriptive and rule-based — AssetNext describes structural realities and never issues buy, sell or hold recommendations.