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Stock Comparison · Structural lead, mixed market

Flutter Entertainment vs Toast: Which Stock Looks Stronger in 2026?

Toast holds the cleaner structural position, with the lead spread across profitability and growth. Flutter Entertainment still leads on valuation and stability, which keeps the comparison from looking entirely one-sided. Both sides have seen trend damage — neither carries a clear market edge right now. With both trends damaged, the structural comparison carries most of the weight here.

The comparison is based on similar long-term financial trajectories, not sector labels. Both peer scores are relative to the Russell 1000 universe, making them directly comparable.

Updated 2026-07-05

This is not just a one-metric split: both profitability and growth materially support the lead.

Trajectory Similarity
0.68
Moderately similar
Peer-set rank: #12
within Flutter Entertainment plc's functional peer set

This comparison is anchored in long-term financial trajectory similarity within the selected peer universe.

A moderate similarity means the pair is structurally comparable, but not a near-twin trajectory match.

The match is driven mainly by operating margin level and investment intensity.

Similarity drivers
operating margin levelinvestment intensity
How to read the score
0.85–1.00 · Very similar0.70–0.84 · Similar0.55–0.69 · Moderately similarbelow 0.55 · Loose match
Peer-Relative Score
FLUT
Flutter Entertainment plc
53
Peer-Score
Signal qualitylow
Peer basis: Russell 1000
vs
TOST
Toast, Inc.
60
Peer-Score
Signal qualitylow
Peer basis: Russell 1000

Scores reflect position relative to comparable companies with similar long-term financial trajectories.

The largest gaps do not all point in the same direction.

Dimension spread: FLUT vs TOST Profitability 31 83 Stability 68 31 Valuation 88 56 Growth 21 61 FLUT TOST
Gap Ranking
#1 Profitability +52
#2 Growth +40
#3 Stability +37
#4 Valuation +32
Price Setup

Left means cheaper relative valuation. Higher means stronger structure.

Price setup map for FLUT and TOST Stronger + cheaper Stronger + richer Weaker + cheaper Weaker + richer FLUTTOST Relative valuation Structural strength

Toast, Inc. still looks cheaper, even though Flutter Entertainment plc remains structurally stronger.

Valuation position uses Forward P/E and peer-relative PE percentile (idx_pct_pe) where available.

Entry today — historical context

Where FLUT and TOST each sit in their own 4.8-year price and valuation history.

BASED ON 4.8-YEAR HISTORY FLUT Lower · below norm 0th 50th 100th 57 pct gap TOST Neutral · above norm 0th 50th 100th 8th 65th
Today FLUT sits in the lower portion of its own 5-year history (8th percentile), while TOST sits higher in its own history (65th). Within each stock's own 5-year context, FLUT is at a historically more favourable entry position than TOST. This reflects entry timing, not which company is structurally stronger — peer-relative analysis is a separate question addressed above.

Describes historical entry positioning only. Descriptive — not investment advice.

Relative Position vs Comparable Companies
Profitability
Toast, Inc. ranks near the top of the group on profitability; Flutter Entertainment plc sits in the weaker half.
Growth
On growth, Toast, Inc. is positioned higher in the group, while Flutter Entertainment plc is closer to the middle.
Profitability — Dominant Gap
FLUT
31
TOST
83
Gap+52in favour of TOST

Capital efficiency adds support, with a 1725-point ROIC advantage.

What keeps the gap from being one-sided

A meaningful counterforce remains in stability, which keeps the comparison from looking completely one-sided.

What this means for the comparison

The lead is built on both profitability and growth — though valuation still provides a counterweight.

Explore full peer positioning in AssetNext

Break down the FLUT vs TOST comparison across all dimensions with the full interactive tool.

Explore full breakdown →
Other comparisons with conflicting dimension signals

Explore how FLUT and TOST each compare against other companies in their peer groups.

Rule-based, descriptive analysis only. Derived from peer percentile dimensions. Not investment advice. Peer groups are determined algorithmically based on structural similarity — not by sector classification alone.

How AssetNext Peer Scores Work

AssetNext scores reflect each company's structural position within its functional peer group — not a ranking against all stocks simultaneously. Peers are identified by similarity across eight financial dimensions, including revenue growth trajectory, margin structure, capital intensity, and earnings stability. A score of 75 means the company ranks in the top quartile within its own peer group, not the entire market.

Four dimension scores drive the overall peer score: Growth (revenue trajectory and expansion dynamics), Quality (margin structure and capital efficiency), Valuation (peer-relative pricing on standard multiples), and Stability (earnings consistency and financial predictability). Each dimension is scored 0–100 relative to the peer group, then combined into an overall peer score using equal weighting.

Because scores are peer-relative, the same company can have slightly different scores in different index universes. On comparison pages, both companies are shown within their shared peer universe wherever possible — so the scores are directly comparable. The peer basis is stated on each score card.

Scores are recalculated periodically as underlying financial data is updated. All analysis is descriptive and rule-based — AssetNext describes structural realities and never issues buy, sell or hold recommendations.