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Stock Comparison · Structural lead, mixed market

CF Industries Holdings vs ConocoPhillips: Which Stock Looks Stronger in 2026?

CF Industries holds the cleaner structural position, with the lead spread across growth and profitability. ConocoPhillips does not offset that deficit through any equally strong structural edge elsewhere. The market setup broadly confirms the structural lead — CF Industries holds the more constructive position. That puts structure and market broadly in agreement — CF Industries's lead looks more confirmed than conflicted.

The comparison is based on similar long-term financial trajectories, not sector labels. Both peer scores are relative to the S&P 500 universe, making them directly comparable.

Updated 2026-07-05

This is not just a one-metric split: both growth and profitability materially support the lead. CF Industries Holdings, Inc. leads by 26 points on the overall comparison score.

Trajectory Similarity
0.58
Moderately similar
Peer-set rank: #9
within CF Industries Holdings, Inc.'s functional peer set

This comparison is anchored in long-term financial trajectory similarity within the selected peer universe.

The pair shares a valid long-term profile match, but the trajectories are not especially close.

The clearest structural overlap shows up in capital structure and margin trend.

Similarity drivers
capital structuremargin trend
How to read the score
0.85–1.00 · Very similar0.70–0.84 · Similar0.55–0.69 · Moderately similarbelow 0.55 · Loose match
Peer-Relative Score
CF
CF Industries Holdings, Inc.
85
Peer-Score
Signal qualitylow
Peer basis: S&P 500
vs
COP
ConocoPhillips
59
Peer-Score
Signal qualitylow
Peer basis: S&P 500

Scores reflect position relative to comparable companies with similar long-term financial trajectories.

The largest gaps do not all point in the same direction.

Dimension spread: CF vs COP Profitability 98 53 Stability 69 72 Valuation 87 81 Growth 80 25 CF COP
Gap Ranking
#1 Growth +55
#2 Profitability +45
#3 Valuation +6
#4 Stability +3
Price Setup

Left means cheaper relative valuation. Higher means stronger structure.

Price setup map for CF and COP Stronger + cheaper Stronger + richer Weaker + cheaper Weaker + richer CFCOP Relative valuation Structural strength

CF Industries Holdings, Inc. looks stronger both structurally and on relative valuation.

Valuation position uses peer-relative PE percentile (idx_pct_pe) where available.

Entry today — historical context

Where CF and COP each sit in their own 5-year price and valuation history.

BASED ON 5-YEAR HISTORY CF Elevated · above norm 0th 50th 100th 26 pct gap COP Neutral · above norm 0th 50th 100th 95th 69th
Today COP sits in the upper-middle of its own 5-year history (69th percentile), while CF sits higher in its own history (95th). Within each stock's own 5-year context, COP is at a historically more favourable entry position than CF. This reflects entry timing, not which company is structurally stronger — peer-relative analysis is a separate question addressed above.

Describes historical entry positioning only. Descriptive — not investment advice.

Relative Position vs Comparable Companies
Growth
On growth, CF Industries Holdings, Inc. ranks near the top of the group; ConocoPhillips sits in the weaker half.
Profitability
On profitability, the edge is clear — both rank well, but CF Industries Holdings, Inc. sits noticeably higher.
Growth — Dominant Gap
CF
80
COP
25
Gap+55in favour of CF

One company is still expanding while the other is contracting, which creates a very wide growth split.

What keeps the gap from being one-sided

ConocoPhillips still carries lower volatility exposure — that difference is real enough to prevent the comparison from becoming one-sided.

What this means for the comparison

The lead is built on both growth and profitability, making it broader than a single-dimension result.

Explore full peer positioning in AssetNext

Break down the CF vs COP comparison across all dimensions with the full interactive tool.

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Similar growth-and-profitability comparisons

Explore how CF and COP each compare against other companies in their peer groups.

Rule-based, descriptive analysis only. Derived from peer percentile dimensions. Not investment advice. Peer groups are determined algorithmically based on structural similarity — not by sector classification alone.

How AssetNext Peer Scores Work

AssetNext scores reflect each company's structural position within its functional peer group — not a ranking against all stocks simultaneously. Peers are identified by similarity across eight financial dimensions, including revenue growth trajectory, margin structure, capital intensity, and earnings stability. A score of 75 means the company ranks in the top quartile within its own peer group, not the entire market.

Four dimension scores drive the overall peer score: Growth (revenue trajectory and expansion dynamics), Quality (margin structure and capital efficiency), Valuation (peer-relative pricing on standard multiples), and Stability (earnings consistency and financial predictability). Each dimension is scored 0–100 relative to the peer group, then combined into an overall peer score using equal weighting.

Because scores are peer-relative, the same company can have slightly different scores in different index universes. On comparison pages, both companies are shown within their shared peer universe wherever possible — so the scores are directly comparable. The peer basis is stated on each score card.

Scores are recalculated periodically as underlying financial data is updated. All analysis is descriptive and rule-based — AssetNext describes structural realities and never issues buy, sell or hold recommendations.