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Stock Comparison · Structural lead, mixed market

CF Industries Holdings vs ConocoPhillips: Which Stock Looks Stronger in 2026?

CF Industries holds the cleaner structural position, with growth as the main driver and stability adding further support. ConocoPhillips still has the edge on stability, which keeps the comparison from looking entirely one-sided. The market setup is broadly comparable for both — no clear directional signal from price behavior. The market is not adding a decisive signal either way — the structural read carries the weight.

The comparison is based on similar long-term financial trajectories, not sector labels. Both peer scores are relative to the S&P 500 universe, making them directly comparable.

Updated 2026-05-17

The lead is spread across growth and profitability, rather than sitting in one isolated gap. The overall score gap is 12 points in favour of CF Industries Holdings, Inc..

Trajectory Similarity
0.58
Moderately similar
Peer-set rank: #10
within CF Industries Holdings, Inc.'s functional peer set

This comparison is anchored in long-term financial trajectory similarity within the selected peer universe.

The pair shares a valid long-term profile match, but the trajectories are not especially close.

The clearest structural overlap shows up in capital structure and margin trend.

Similarity drivers
capital structuremargin trend
How to read the score
0.85–1.00 · Very similar0.70–0.84 · Similar0.55–0.69 · Moderately similarbelow 0.55 · Loose match
Peer-Relative Score
CF
CF Industries Holdings, Inc.
66
Peer-Score
Signal qualitylow
Peer basis: S&P 500
vs
COP
ConocoPhillips
54
Peer-Score
Signal qualitylow
Peer basis: S&P 500

Scores reflect position relative to comparable companies with similar long-term financial trajectories.

The largest gaps do not all point in the same direction.

Dimension spread: CF vs COP Profitability 70 53 Stability 36 60 Valuation 86 74 Growth 60 21 CF COP
Gap Ranking
#1 Growth +39
#2 Stability +24
#3 Profitability +17
#4 Valuation +12
Price Setup

Left means cheaper relative valuation. Higher means stronger structure.

Price setup map for CF and COP Stronger + cheaper Stronger + richer Weaker + cheaper Weaker + richer CFCOP Relative valuation Structural strength

CF Industries Holdings, Inc. looks stronger on relative valuation, while the broader price setup remains mixed.

Valuation position uses peer-relative PE percentile (idx_pct_pe) where available.

Entry today — historical context

Where CF and COP each sit in their own 5-year price and valuation history.

BASED ON 5-YEAR HISTORY CF Elevated · above norm 0th 50th 100th 0 pct gap COP Elevated · above norm 0th 50th 100th 99th 98th
CF (99th percentile) and COP (98th percentile) both sit in the upper portion of their own 5-year ranges. The historical entry context is broadly similar for both. This reflects entry timing, not which company is structurally stronger.

Describes historical entry positioning only. Descriptive — not investment advice.

Relative Position vs Comparable Companies
Growth
CF Industries Holdings, Inc. sits in the stronger part of the group on growth, while ConocoPhillips is closer to mid-pack.
Stability
On stability, ConocoPhillips is positioned higher in the group, while CF Industries Holdings, Inc. is closer to the middle.
Growth — Dominant Gap
CF
60
COP
21
Gap+39in favour of CF

One company is still expanding while the other is contracting, which creates a very wide growth split.

What keeps the gap from being one-sided

A meaningful counterforce remains in stability, which keeps the comparison from looking completely one-sided.

What this means for the comparison

The growth lead is decisive, but stability still runs counter to it — the result is clear, not entirely one-sided.

Explore full peer positioning in AssetNext

Break down the CF vs COP comparison across all dimensions with the full interactive tool.

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Other comparisons with conflicting dimension signals

Explore how CF and COP each compare against other companies in their peer groups.

Rule-based, descriptive analysis only. Derived from peer percentile dimensions. Not investment advice. Peer groups are determined algorithmically based on structural similarity — not by sector classification alone.

How AssetNext Peer Scores Work

AssetNext scores reflect each company's structural position within its functional peer group — not a ranking against all stocks simultaneously. Peers are identified by similarity across eight financial dimensions, including revenue growth trajectory, margin structure, capital intensity, and earnings stability. A score of 75 means the company ranks in the top quartile within its own peer group, not the entire market.

Four dimension scores drive the overall peer score: Growth (revenue trajectory and expansion dynamics), Quality (margin structure and capital efficiency), Valuation (peer-relative pricing on standard multiples), and Stability (earnings consistency and financial predictability). Each dimension is scored 0–100 relative to the peer group, then combined into an overall peer score using equal weighting.

Because scores are peer-relative, the same company can have slightly different scores in different index universes. On comparison pages, both companies are shown within their shared peer universe wherever possible — so the scores are directly comparable. The peer basis is stated on each score card.

Scores are recalculated periodically as underlying financial data is updated. All analysis is descriptive and rule-based — AssetNext describes structural realities and never issues buy, sell or hold recommendations.