Home Companies CF
Basic Materials · Agricultural Inputs · Peer Analysis

CF Industries Holdings, Inc. (CF) — Structural Peer Analysis

CF Industries Holdings, Inc. ranks in the top quartile of its peer group, with a broadly solid profile across the main structural dimensions. The trend setup is mixed, though short-term momentum remains constructive. Price action is running ahead of the structural profile — the setup is more market-led than fundamentals-led for now.

Updated 2026-07-05 · SP500
ENTRY TODAY
Elevated price zoneabove norm
TODAY (5y history)95th pct today
0th50th100th
Today the stock sits in a historically elevated range and its multiple is above its own norm.
Describes where today's entry sits in the stock's own long-term price and valuation history. Descriptive only. Not investment advice.
Dimension Profile

Peer-relative scores, weakest to strongest

Weakest Stability 69
Top 25% of peers
Weak Growth 80
Top 10% of peers
Moderate Valuation 87
Top 10% of peers
Strongest Profitability 98
Top 10% of peers
Peer-Relative Score
85
Peer-Score
Strong peer position
Signal qualitylow
Structural Read

Premium for CF Hinges on US Gas and CCS

CF Industries Holdings, Inc. produces and sells nitrogen fertilizers worldwide, focusing on US energy advantages and decarbonization initiatives.

CF is priced as a beneficiary of stable US energy costs and CCS investments. The market treats CF as a sector outlier, not a typical cyclical, because its 36% operating margin (well above peer median, sector top decile) reflects resilience based on cheap US gas and active decarbonization. This combination leads the market to assign CF a premium for cost advantage and regulatory positioning, even as one-year volatility at 41.5% (high for quality, above peer median) signals that the market reacts strongly to any signs of instability in these drivers. If US gas prices spike or CCS projects falter, the market is likely to compress the premium abruptly, repricing CF’s valuation to reflect the diminished cost and regulatory edge.

AssetNext · 2026-05-21 · Rule-based and descriptive. Not investment advice.

Explore how CF compares across its peer group

Break down CF's position across all dimensions with the full interactive tool.

Open full peer comparison →
Compare CF with peers

This analysis is rule-based and descriptive. Peer-relative scores are derived from functional peer group comparisons using publicly available financial data. Scores reflect structural positioning only and do not constitute investment advice, a buy or sell recommendation, or a forecast of future performance. AssetNext peer scores are recalculated periodically as new data becomes available.

How AssetNext Peer Scores Work

AssetNext scores reflect each company's structural position within its functional peer group — not a ranking against all stocks simultaneously. Peers are identified by similarity across eight financial dimensions, including revenue growth trajectory, margin structure, capital intensity, and earnings stability. A score of 75 means the company ranks in the top quartile within its own peer group, not the entire market.

Four dimension scores drive the overall peer score: Growth (revenue trajectory and expansion dynamics), Quality (margin structure and capital efficiency), Valuation (peer-relative pricing on standard multiples), and Stability (earnings consistency and financial predictability). Each dimension is scored 0–100 relative to the peer group, then combined into an overall peer score using equal weighting.

Because scores are peer-relative, the same company can have slightly different scores in different index universes. On comparison pages, both companies are shown within their shared peer universe wherever possible — so the scores are directly comparable. The peer basis is stated on each score card.

Scores are recalculated periodically as underlying financial data is updated. All analysis is descriptive and rule-based — AssetNext describes structural realities and never issues buy, sell or hold recommendations.