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Stock Comparison · Structural lead, mixed market

Archer-Daniels-Midland Company vs The J. M. Smucker Company: Which Stock Looks Stronger in 2026?

The structural profiles are close, with The J. M. Smucker Company carrying a narrow edge on stability. The remaining gap is narrow enough that the comparison remains open to different readings. The market setup is mixed, without a decisive signal in either direction. The market is not adding a decisive signal either way — the structural read carries the weight.

The comparison is based on similar long-term financial trajectories, not sector labels. Both peer scores are relative to the S&P 500 universe, making them directly comparable.

Updated 2026-08-16

Most of the visible separation comes from stability.

Trajectory Similarity
0.78
Similar
Peer-set rank: #11
within Archer-Daniels-Midland Company's functional peer set

This pair is matched through long-term financial trajectory similarity within the selected peer universe.

This level of similarity signals a strong structural match, even though some dimensions still separate the two companies.

The match is driven mainly by margin consistency and investment intensity.

Similarity drivers
margin consistencyinvestment intensity
How to read the score
0.85–1.00 · Very similar0.70–0.84 · Similar0.55–0.69 · Moderately similarbelow 0.55 · Loose match
Peer-Relative Score
ADM
Archer-Daniels-Midland Company
60
Peer-Score
Signal qualitylow
Peer basis: S&P 500
vs
SJM
The J. M. Smucker Company
65
Peer-Score
Signal qualitylow
Peer basis: S&P 500

Scores reflect position relative to comparable companies with similar long-term financial trajectories.

The largest gaps do not all point in the same direction.

Dimension spread: ADM vs SJM Profitability 20 23 Stability 58 72 Valuation 74 85 Growth 100 92 ADM SJM
Gap Ranking
#1 Stability +14
#2 Valuation +11
#3 Growth +8
#4 Profitability +3
Price Setup

Left means cheaper relative valuation. Higher means stronger structure.

Price setup map for ADM and SJM Stronger + cheaper Stronger + richer Weaker + cheaper Weaker + richer ADMSJM Relative valuation Structural strength

The structural gap is limited here, but current pricing still leans against Archer-Daniels-Midland Company.

Valuation position uses peer-relative PE percentile (idx_pct_pe) and Forward P/E where available.

Entry today — historical context

Where ADM and SJM each sit in their own 5-year price and valuation history.

BASED ON 5-YEAR HISTORY ADM Elevated · above norm 0th 50th 100th 13 pct gap SJM Elevated · above norm 0th 50th 100th 93rd 80th
ADM (93rd percentile) and SJM (80th percentile) both sit in the upper portion of their own 5-year ranges. The historical entry context is broadly similar for both. This reflects entry timing, not which company is structurally stronger.

Describes historical entry positioning only. Descriptive — not investment advice.

Relative Position vs Comparable Companies
Stability
Both look solid on stability, though The J. M. Smucker Company still holds the stronger peer position.
Valuation
On valuation, the edge still sits with The J. M. Smucker Company, even though both profiles look solid.
Stability — Dominant Gap
ADM
58
SJM
72
Gap+14in favour of SJM

The clearest distance comes from a steadier profile over time.

What keeps the gap from being one-sided

Archer-Daniels-Midland Company still has the more coherent overall profile, which keeps the result from looking completely one-sided.

What this means for the comparison

The lead is built on both stability and valuation, making it broader than a single-dimension result.

Explore full peer positioning in AssetNext

Break down the ADM vs SJM comparison across all dimensions with the full interactive tool.

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Other close comparisons

Explore how ADM and SJM each compare against other companies in their peer groups.

Rule-based, descriptive analysis only. Derived from peer percentile dimensions. Not investment advice. Peer groups are determined algorithmically based on structural similarity — not by sector classification alone.

How AssetNext Peer Scores Work

AssetNext scores reflect each company's structural position within its functional peer group — not a ranking against all stocks simultaneously. Peers are identified by similarity across eight financial dimensions, including revenue growth trajectory, margin structure, capital intensity, and earnings stability. A score of 75 means the company ranks in the top quartile within its own peer group, not the entire market.

Four dimension scores drive the overall peer score: Growth (revenue trajectory and expansion dynamics), Quality (margin structure and capital efficiency), Valuation (peer-relative pricing on standard multiples), and Stability (earnings consistency and financial predictability). Each dimension is scored 0–100 relative to the peer group, then combined into an overall peer score using equal weighting.

Because scores are peer-relative, the same company can have slightly different scores in different index universes. On comparison pages, both companies are shown within their shared peer universe wherever possible — so the scores are directly comparable. The peer basis is stated on each score card.

Scores are recalculated periodically as underlying financial data is updated. All analysis is descriptive and rule-based — AssetNext describes structural realities and never issues buy, sell or hold recommendations.