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Stock Comparison · Structural lead, mixed market

The TJX Companies vs Ulta Beauty: Which Stock Looks Stronger in 2026?

The structural profiles are close, with The TJX Companies carrying a narrow edge on stability. Ulta Beauty still has the edge on valuation, which keeps the comparison from looking entirely one-sided. The market setup broadly confirms the structural lead — The TJX Companies holds the more constructive position. That puts structure and market broadly in agreement — The TJX Companies's lead looks more confirmed than conflicted.

The comparison is based on similar long-term financial trajectories, not sector labels. Both peer scores are relative to the S&P 500 universe, making them directly comparable.

Updated 2026-08-16

Most of the visible separation comes from stability.

Trajectory Similarity
0.80
Similar
Peer-set rank: #6
within The TJX Companies, Inc.'s functional peer set

This pair is matched through long-term financial trajectory similarity within the selected peer universe.

This level of similarity signals a strong structural match, even though some dimensions still separate the two companies.

Most of the shared profile comes through investment intensity and margin consistency.

Similarity drivers
investment intensitymargin consistency
How to read the score
0.85–1.00 · Very similar0.70–0.84 · Similar0.55–0.69 · Moderately similarbelow 0.55 · Loose match
Peer-Relative Score
TJX
The TJX Companies, Inc.
67
Peer-Score
Signal qualitylow
Peer basis: S&P 500
vs
ULTA
Ulta Beauty, Inc.
62
Peer-Score
Signal qualitylow
Peer basis: S&P 500

Scores reflect position relative to comparable companies with similar long-term financial trajectories.

The largest gaps do not all point in the same direction.

Dimension spread: TJX vs ULTA Profitability 65 59 Stability 82 40 Valuation 60 84 Growth 67 54 TJX ULTA
Gap Ranking
#1 Stability +42
#2 Valuation +24
#3 Growth +13
#4 Profitability +6
Price Setup

Left means cheaper relative valuation. Higher means stronger structure.

Price setup map for TJX and ULTA Stronger + cheaper Stronger + richer Weaker + cheaper Weaker + richer TJXULTA Relative valuation Structural strength

The TJX Companies, Inc. still looks stronger overall, though current pricing looks more supportive for Ulta Beauty, Inc..

Valuation position uses peer-relative PE percentile (idx_pct_pe) where available.

Entry today — historical context

Where TJX and ULTA each sit in their own 5-year price and valuation history.

BASED ON 5-YEAR HISTORY TJX Elevated · above norm 0th 50th 100th 12 pct gap ULTA Elevated · above norm 0th 50th 100th 88th 76th
TJX (88th percentile) and ULTA (76th percentile) both sit in the upper portion of their own 5-year ranges. The historical entry context is broadly similar for both. This reflects entry timing, not which company is structurally stronger.

Describes historical entry positioning only. Descriptive — not investment advice.

Relative Position vs Comparable Companies
Stability
Both profiles are strong on stability, but The TJX Companies, Inc. leads clearly.
Valuation
On valuation, the same pattern holds: both are strong, but Ulta Beauty, Inc. still leads clearly.
Stability — Dominant Gap
TJX
82
ULTA
40
Gap+42in favour of TJX

The stability gap is very wide, with the stronger side looking materially steadier through time.

What keeps the gap from being one-sided

Absolute pricing still looks more supportive for Ulta Beauty, with a forward P/E that is 10.4 turns lower there.

What this means for the comparison

The page question resolves through stability, but valuation and current pricing still keep the broader comparison from reading as fully aligned.

Explore full peer positioning in AssetNext

Break down the TJX vs ULTA comparison across all dimensions with the full interactive tool.

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Other comparisons with conflicting dimension signals

Explore how TJX and ULTA each compare against other companies in their peer groups.

Rule-based, descriptive analysis only. Derived from peer percentile dimensions. Not investment advice. Peer groups are determined algorithmically based on structural similarity — not by sector classification alone.

How AssetNext Peer Scores Work

AssetNext scores reflect each company's structural position within its functional peer group — not a ranking against all stocks simultaneously. Peers are identified by similarity across eight financial dimensions, including revenue growth trajectory, margin structure, capital intensity, and earnings stability. A score of 75 means the company ranks in the top quartile within its own peer group, not the entire market.

Four dimension scores drive the overall peer score: Growth (revenue trajectory and expansion dynamics), Quality (margin structure and capital efficiency), Valuation (peer-relative pricing on standard multiples), and Stability (earnings consistency and financial predictability). Each dimension is scored 0–100 relative to the peer group, then combined into an overall peer score using equal weighting.

Because scores are peer-relative, the same company can have slightly different scores in different index universes. On comparison pages, both companies are shown within their shared peer universe wherever possible — so the scores are directly comparable. The peer basis is stated on each score card.

Scores are recalculated periodically as underlying financial data is updated. All analysis is descriptive and rule-based — AssetNext describes structural realities and never issues buy, sell or hold recommendations.