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Texas Roadhouse vs Ulta Beauty: Which Stock Looks Stronger in 2026?

Ulta Beauty holds the cleaner structural position, with stability as the main driver and valuation adding further support. Texas Roadhouse still has the edge on stability, which keeps the comparison from looking entirely one-sided. The market setup is currently leaning toward Texas Roadhouse, which does not confirm the structural lead. That leaves a split case: the structural lead stays with Ulta Beauty, but the market is not currently confirming it.

The comparison is based on similar long-term financial trajectories, not sector labels. Both peer scores are relative to the Russell 1000 universe, making them directly comparable.

Updated 2026-08-16

The page question resolves through stability, where Texas Roadhouse, Inc. holds the stronger read even though the broader score still favours Ulta Beauty, Inc..

Trajectory Similarity
0.77
Similar
Peer-set rank: #12
within Texas Roadhouse, Inc.'s functional peer set

These two companies are linked by measured long-term financial trajectory similarity within the selected peer universe.

A solid similarity means the pair shares a clearly comparable long-term financial profile, even if individual dimensions still differ.

Most of the shared profile comes through capital structure and margin consistency.

Similarity drivers
capital structuremargin consistency
How to read the score
0.85–1.00 · Very similar0.70–0.84 · Similar0.55–0.69 · Moderately similarbelow 0.55 · Loose match
Peer-Relative Score
TXRH
Texas Roadhouse, Inc.
52
Peer-Score
Signal qualitylow
Peer basis: Russell 1000
vs
ULTA
Ulta Beauty, Inc.
61
Peer-Score
Signal qualitylow
Peer basis: Russell 1000

Scores reflect position relative to comparable companies with similar long-term financial trajectories.

Score differences across key dimensions.

Dimension spread: TXRH vs ULTA Profitability 40 59 Stability 71 38 Valuation 56 84 Growth 45 54 TXRH ULTA
Gap Ranking
#1 Stability +33
#2 Valuation +28
#3 Profitability +19
#4 Growth +9
Price Setup

Left means cheaper relative valuation. Higher means stronger structure.

Price setup map for TXRH and ULTA Stronger + cheaper Stronger + richer Weaker + cheaper Weaker + richer TXRHULTA Relative valuation Structural strength

Ulta Beauty, Inc. and Texas Roadhouse, Inc. look relatively close on structure, but the price setup still leans toward Ulta Beauty, Inc..

Valuation position uses peer-relative PE percentile (idx_pct_pe) where available.

Entry today — historical context

Where TXRH and ULTA each sit in their own 5-year price and valuation history.

BASED ON 5-YEAR HISTORY TXRH Elevated · above norm 0th 50th 100th 23 pct gap ULTA Elevated · above norm 0th 50th 100th 99th 76th
Today ULTA sits in the upper portion of its own 5-year history (76th percentile), while TXRH sits higher in its own history (99th). Within each stock's own 5-year context, ULTA is at a historically more favourable entry position than TXRH. This reflects entry timing, not which company is structurally stronger — peer-relative analysis is a separate question addressed above.

Describes historical entry positioning only. Descriptive — not investment advice.

Relative Position vs Comparable Companies
Stability
Texas Roadhouse, Inc. ranks near the top of the group on stability; Ulta Beauty, Inc. sits in the weaker half.
Valuation
On valuation, the edge is clear — both rank well, but Ulta Beauty, Inc. sits noticeably higher.
Stability — Dominant Gap
TXRH
71
ULTA
38
Gap+33in favour of TXRH

The clearest distance comes from a steadier profile over time.

What keeps the gap from being one-sided

Texas Roadhouse, Inc. still shows lower market-fundamental divergence, which keeps the wider picture mixed rather than completely one-sided.

What this means for the comparison

Stability is the clearest driver of the lead, with valuation adding further support — though stability still provides a real counterweight.

Explore full peer positioning in AssetNext

Break down the TXRH vs ULTA comparison across all dimensions with the full interactive tool.

Explore full breakdown →
Other comparisons with conflicting dimension signals

Explore how TXRH and ULTA each compare against other companies in their peer groups.

Rule-based, descriptive analysis only. Derived from peer percentile dimensions. Not investment advice. Peer groups are determined algorithmically based on structural similarity — not by sector classification alone.

How AssetNext Peer Scores Work

AssetNext scores reflect each company's structural position within its functional peer group — not a ranking against all stocks simultaneously. Peers are identified by similarity across eight financial dimensions, including revenue growth trajectory, margin structure, capital intensity, and earnings stability. A score of 75 means the company ranks in the top quartile within its own peer group, not the entire market.

Four dimension scores drive the overall peer score: Growth (revenue trajectory and expansion dynamics), Quality (margin structure and capital efficiency), Valuation (peer-relative pricing on standard multiples), and Stability (earnings consistency and financial predictability). Each dimension is scored 0–100 relative to the peer group, then combined into an overall peer score using equal weighting.

Because scores are peer-relative, the same company can have slightly different scores in different index universes. On comparison pages, both companies are shown within their shared peer universe wherever possible — so the scores are directly comparable. The peer basis is stated on each score card.

Scores are recalculated periodically as underlying financial data is updated. All analysis is descriptive and rule-based — AssetNext describes structural realities and never issues buy, sell or hold recommendations.