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Target vs Walmart: Which Stock Looks Stronger in 2026?

The structural profiles are close, with Walmart carrying a narrow edge on stability. Target still has the edge on valuation, which keeps the comparison from looking entirely one-sided. In the market, Target carries the stronger setup — intact trend against Walmart's broken trend. That leaves a split case: the structural lead stays with Walmart, but the market is not currently confirming it.

The comparison is based on similar long-term financial trajectories, not sector labels. Both peer scores are relative to the S&P 500 universe, making them directly comparable.

Updated 2026-08-16

The clearest separation starts in stability, with growth adding a second layer of support.

INDUSTRY COMPARISON

Both operate in: Discount Stores

This comparison is based on industry proximity, not on functional trajectory similarity. TGT and WMT share the same industry classification.

For a similarity-based comparison, see how Target and Walmart each position within their functional peer groups in AssetNext.

Peer-Relative Score
TGT
Target Corporation
58
Peer-Score
Signal qualitylow
Peer basis: S&P 500
vs
WMT
Walmart Inc.
63
Peer-Score
Signal qualitylow
Peer basis: S&P 500

Scores reflect position relative to comparable companies with similar long-term financial trajectories.

The largest gaps do not all point in the same direction.

Dimension spread: TGT vs WMT Profitability 73 75 Stability 19 71 Valuation 79 44 Growth 44 65 TGT WMT
Gap Ranking
#1 Stability +52
#2 Valuation +35
#3 Growth +21
#4 Profitability +2
Price Setup

Left means cheaper relative valuation. Higher means stronger structure.

Price setup map for TGT and WMT Stronger + cheaper Stronger + richer Weaker + cheaper Weaker + richer TGTWMT Relative valuation Structural strength

Walmart Inc. occupies the cheaper side of the setup map, although Target Corporation still holds the stronger structural profile.

Valuation position uses peer-relative PE percentile (idx_pct_pe) where available.

Entry today — historical context

Where TGT and WMT each sit in their own 5-year price and valuation history.

BASED ON 5-YEAR HISTORY TGT Elevated · above norm 0th 50th 100th 7 pct gap WMT Elevated · above norm 0th 50th 100th 84th 90th
TGT (84th percentile) and WMT (90th percentile) both sit in the upper portion of their own 5-year ranges. The historical entry context is broadly similar for both. This reflects entry timing, not which company is structurally stronger.

Describes historical entry positioning only. Descriptive — not investment advice.

Relative Position vs Comparable Companies
Stability
On stability, Walmart Inc. ranks near the top of the group; Target Corporation sits in the weaker half.
Valuation
On valuation, the edge is clear — both rank well, but Target Corporation sits noticeably higher.
Stability — Dominant Gap
TGT
19
WMT
71
Gap+52in favour of WMT

The stability gap is very wide, with the stronger side looking materially steadier through time.

What keeps the gap from being one-sided

Absolute pricing still looks more supportive for Target, with a forward P/E that is 18 turns lower there.

What this means for the comparison

Stability points more clearly to Walmart Inc., but valuation and current pricing keep the broader result mixed.

Explore full peer positioning in AssetNext

Break down the TGT vs WMT comparison across all dimensions with the full interactive tool.

Explore full breakdown →
Other comparisons with conflicting dimension signals

Explore how TGT and WMT each compare against other companies in their peer groups.

Rule-based, descriptive analysis only. Derived from peer percentile dimensions. Not investment advice. Peer groups are determined algorithmically based on structural similarity — not by sector classification alone.

How AssetNext Peer Scores Work

AssetNext scores reflect each company's structural position within its functional peer group — not a ranking against all stocks simultaneously. Peers are identified by similarity across eight financial dimensions, including revenue growth trajectory, margin structure, capital intensity, and earnings stability. A score of 75 means the company ranks in the top quartile within its own peer group, not the entire market.

Four dimension scores drive the overall peer score: Growth (revenue trajectory and expansion dynamics), Quality (margin structure and capital efficiency), Valuation (peer-relative pricing on standard multiples), and Stability (earnings consistency and financial predictability). Each dimension is scored 0–100 relative to the peer group, then combined into an overall peer score using equal weighting.

Because scores are peer-relative, the same company can have slightly different scores in different index universes. On comparison pages, both companies are shown within their shared peer universe wherever possible — so the scores are directly comparable. The peer basis is stated on each score card.

Scores are recalculated periodically as underlying financial data is updated. All analysis is descriptive and rule-based — AssetNext describes structural realities and never issues buy, sell or hold recommendations.