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Saipem SpA vs TUI: Which Stock Looks Stronger in 2026?

TUI holds the cleaner structural position, with valuation as the main driver and growth adding further support. In the market, Saipem SpA carries the stronger setup — intact trend against TUI's broken trend. That leaves a split case: the structural lead stays with TUI, but the market is not currently confirming it.

The comparison is based on similar long-term financial trajectories, not sector labels. Both peer scores are relative to the STOXX 600 universe, making them directly comparable.

Updated 2026-07-05

The clearest separation starts in valuation, with growth adding a second layer of support. The overall score gap is 14 points in favour of TUI AG.

Trajectory Similarity
0.74
Similar
Peer-set rank: #5
within Saipem SpA's functional peer set

This comparison is anchored in long-term financial trajectory similarity within the selected peer universe.

This level of similarity signals a strong structural match, even though some dimensions still separate the two companies.

The strongest overlap appears in investment intensity and margin consistency.

Similarity drivers
investment intensitymargin consistency
How to read the score
0.85–1.00 · Very similar0.70–0.84 · Similar0.55–0.69 · Moderately similarbelow 0.55 · Loose match
Peer-Relative Score
SPM.MI
Saipem SpA
44
Peer-Score
Signal qualitylow
Peer basis: STOXX 600
vs
TUI1.DE
TUI AG
58
Peer-Score
Signal qualitylow
Peer basis: STOXX 600

Scores reflect position relative to comparable companies with similar long-term financial trajectories.

Score differences across key dimensions.

Dimension spread: SPM.MI vs TUI1.DE Profitability 62 66 Stability 26 19 Valuation 50 88 Growth 27 40 SPM.MI TUI1.DE
Gap Ranking
#1 Valuation +38
#2 Growth +13
#3 Stability +7
#4 Profitability +4
Price Setup

Left means cheaper relative valuation. Higher means stronger structure.

Price setup map for SPM.MI and TUI1.DE Stronger + cheaper Stronger + richer Weaker + cheaper Weaker + richer SPM.MITUI1.DE Relative valuation Structural strength

TUI AG and Saipem SpA look relatively close on structure, but the price setup still leans toward TUI AG.

Valuation position uses peer-relative PE percentile (idx_pct_pe) where available.

Entry today — historical context

Where SPM.MI and TUI1.DE each sit in their own 5-year price and valuation history.

BASED ON 5-YEAR HISTORY SPM.MI Elevated · above norm 0th 50th 100th 49 pct gap TUI1.DE Neutral · below norm 0th 50th 100th 93rd 44th
Today TUI1.DE sits in the lower-middle of its own 5-year history (44th percentile), while SPM.MI sits higher in its own history (93rd). Within each stock's own 5-year context, TUI1.DE is at a historically more favourable entry position than SPM.MI. This reflects entry timing, not which company is structurally stronger — peer-relative analysis is a separate question addressed above.

Describes historical entry positioning only. Descriptive — not investment advice.

Relative Position vs Comparable Companies
Valuation
Both profiles are strong on valuation, but TUI AG leads clearly.
Growth
TUI AG holds the stronger peer position on growth.
Valuation — Dominant Gap
SPM.MI
50
TUI1.DE
88
Gap+38in favour of TUI1.DE

The multiple-based pricing edge comes from a forward P/E that is 9.6 turns lower.

What keeps the gap from being one-sided

On the market side, Saipem SpA carries the stronger trend while TUI's trend has broken — the market setup does not confirm the structural advantage.

What this means for the comparison

Valuation is the clearest driver, and growth also supports TUI AG's broader structural position.

Explore full peer positioning in AssetNext

Break down the SPM.MI vs TUI1.DE comparison across all dimensions with the full interactive tool.

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Similar valuation-driven comparisons

Explore how SPM.MI and TUI1.DE each compare against other companies in their peer groups.

Rule-based, descriptive analysis only. Derived from peer percentile dimensions. Not investment advice. Peer groups are determined algorithmically based on structural similarity — not by sector classification alone.

How AssetNext Peer Scores Work

AssetNext scores reflect each company's structural position within its functional peer group — not a ranking against all stocks simultaneously. Peers are identified by similarity across eight financial dimensions, including revenue growth trajectory, margin structure, capital intensity, and earnings stability. A score of 75 means the company ranks in the top quartile within its own peer group, not the entire market.

Four dimension scores drive the overall peer score: Growth (revenue trajectory and expansion dynamics), Quality (margin structure and capital efficiency), Valuation (peer-relative pricing on standard multiples), and Stability (earnings consistency and financial predictability). Each dimension is scored 0–100 relative to the peer group, then combined into an overall peer score using equal weighting.

Because scores are peer-relative, the same company can have slightly different scores in different index universes. On comparison pages, both companies are shown within their shared peer universe wherever possible — so the scores are directly comparable. The peer basis is stated on each score card.

Scores are recalculated periodically as underlying financial data is updated. All analysis is descriptive and rule-based — AssetNext describes structural realities and never issues buy, sell or hold recommendations.