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Saipem SpA vs TUI: Which Stock Looks Stronger in 2026?

TUI holds the cleaner structural position, with the lead spread across valuation and profitability. Saipem SpA does not offset that deficit through any equally strong structural edge elsewhere. In the market, Saipem SpA carries the stronger setup — intact trend against TUI's broken trend. That leaves a split case: the structural lead stays with TUI, but the market is not currently confirming it.

The comparison is based on similar long-term financial trajectories, not sector labels. Both peer scores are relative to the STOXX 600 universe, making them directly comparable.

Updated 2026-08-16

The lead is spread across valuation and profitability, rather than sitting in one isolated gap. TUI AG leads by 22 points on the overall comparison score.

Trajectory Similarity
0.73
Similar
Peer-set rank: #9
within Saipem SpA's functional peer set

This comparison is anchored in long-term financial trajectory similarity within the selected peer universe.

This level of similarity signals a strong structural match, even though some dimensions still separate the two companies.

The strongest overlap appears in investment intensity and margin consistency.

Similarity drivers
investment intensitymargin consistency
How to read the score
0.85–1.00 · Very similar0.70–0.84 · Similar0.55–0.69 · Moderately similarbelow 0.55 · Loose match
Peer-Relative Score
SPM.MI
Saipem SpA
32
Peer-Score
Signal qualitylow
Peer basis: STOXX 600
vs
TUI1.DE
TUI AG
54
Peer-Score
Signal qualitylow
Peer basis: STOXX 600

Scores reflect position relative to comparable companies with similar long-term financial trajectories.

Score differences across key dimensions.

Dimension spread: SPM.MI vs TUI1.DE Profitability 43 75 Stability 26 22 Valuation 39 88 Growth 13 6 SPM.MI TUI1.DE
Gap Ranking
#1 Valuation +49
#2 Profitability +32
#3 Growth +7
#4 Stability +4
Price Setup

Left means cheaper relative valuation. Higher means stronger structure.

Price setup map for SPM.MI and TUI1.DE Stronger + cheaper Stronger + richer Weaker + cheaper Weaker + richer SPM.MITUI1.DE Relative valuation Structural strength

TUI AG and Saipem SpA look relatively close on structure, but the price setup still leans toward TUI AG.

Valuation position uses peer-relative PE percentile (idx_pct_pe) where available.

Entry today — historical context

Where SPM.MI and TUI1.DE each sit in their own 5-year price and valuation history.

BASED ON 5-YEAR HISTORY SPM.MI Elevated · above norm 0th 50th 100th 54 pct gap TUI1.DE Neutral · below norm 0th 50th 100th 98th 44th
Today TUI1.DE sits in the lower-middle of its own 5-year history (44th percentile), while SPM.MI sits higher in its own history (98th). Within each stock's own 5-year context, TUI1.DE is at a historically more favourable entry position than SPM.MI. This reflects entry timing, not which company is structurally stronger — peer-relative analysis is a separate question addressed above.

Describes historical entry positioning only. Descriptive — not investment advice.

Relative Position vs Comparable Companies
Valuation
On valuation, TUI AG ranks near the top of the group; Saipem SpA sits in the weaker half.
Profitability
On profitability, the edge is clear — both rank well, but TUI AG sits noticeably higher.
Valuation — Dominant Gap
SPM.MI
39
TUI1.DE
88
Gap+49in favour of TUI1.DE

The multiple-based pricing edge comes from a forward P/E that is 10 turns lower.

What keeps the gap from being one-sided

On the market side, Saipem SpA carries the stronger trend while TUI's trend has broken — the market setup does not confirm the structural advantage.

What this means for the comparison

The lead is built on both valuation and profitability, making it broader than a single-dimension result.

Explore full peer positioning in AssetNext

Break down the SPM.MI vs TUI1.DE comparison across all dimensions with the full interactive tool.

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Similar valuation-and-profitability comparisons

Explore how SPM.MI and TUI1.DE each compare against other companies in their peer groups.

Rule-based, descriptive analysis only. Derived from peer percentile dimensions. Not investment advice. Peer groups are determined algorithmically based on structural similarity — not by sector classification alone.

How AssetNext Peer Scores Work

AssetNext scores reflect each company's structural position within its functional peer group — not a ranking against all stocks simultaneously. Peers are identified by similarity across eight financial dimensions, including revenue growth trajectory, margin structure, capital intensity, and earnings stability. A score of 75 means the company ranks in the top quartile within its own peer group, not the entire market.

Four dimension scores drive the overall peer score: Growth (revenue trajectory and expansion dynamics), Quality (margin structure and capital efficiency), Valuation (peer-relative pricing on standard multiples), and Stability (earnings consistency and financial predictability). Each dimension is scored 0–100 relative to the peer group, then combined into an overall peer score using equal weighting.

Because scores are peer-relative, the same company can have slightly different scores in different index universes. On comparison pages, both companies are shown within their shared peer universe wherever possible — so the scores are directly comparable. The peer basis is stated on each score card.

Scores are recalculated periodically as underlying financial data is updated. All analysis is descriptive and rule-based — AssetNext describes structural realities and never issues buy, sell or hold recommendations.