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PulteGroup vs Toll Brothers: Which Stock Looks Stronger in 2026?

PulteGroup holds the cleaner structural position, with the lead spread across profitability and stability. The market setup is currently leaning toward Toll Brothers, which does not confirm the structural lead. That leaves a split case: the structural lead stays with PulteGroup, but the market is not currently confirming it.

The comparison is based on similar long-term financial trajectories, not sector labels. Both peer scores are relative to the Russell 1000 universe, making them directly comparable.

Updated 2026-08-16

This is not just a one-metric split: both profitability and stability materially support the lead. PulteGroup, Inc. leads by 13 points on the overall comparison score.

INDUSTRY COMPARISON

Both operate in: Residential Construction

This comparison is based on industry proximity, not on functional trajectory similarity. PHM and TOL share the same industry classification.

For a similarity-based comparison, see how PulteGroup and Toll Brothers each position within their functional peer groups in AssetNext.

Peer-Relative Score
PHM
PulteGroup, Inc.
62
Peer-Score
Signal qualitylow
Peer basis: Russell 1000
vs
TOL
Toll Brothers, Inc.
49
Peer-Score
Signal qualitylow
Peer basis: Russell 1000

Scores reflect position relative to comparable companies with similar long-term financial trajectories.

More than one operating dimension supports the result here.

Dimension spread: PHM vs TOL Profitability 67 38 Stability 51 23 Valuation 84 88 Growth 33 35 PHM TOL
Gap Ranking
#1 Profitability +29
#2 Stability +28
#3 Valuation +4
#4 Growth +2
Price Setup

Left means cheaper relative valuation. Higher means stronger structure.

Price setup map for PHM and TOL Stronger + cheaper Stronger + richer Weaker + cheaper Weaker + richer PHMTOL Relative valuation Structural strength

Neither company combines the stronger profile with the cheaper valuation.

Valuation position uses peer-relative PE percentile (idx_pct_pe) where available.

Entry today — historical context

Where PHM and TOL each sit in their own 5-year price and valuation history.

BASED ON 5-YEAR HISTORY PHM Elevated · above norm 0th 50th 100th 3 pct gap TOL Elevated · above norm 0th 50th 100th 90th 93rd
PHM (90th percentile) and TOL (93rd percentile) both sit in the upper portion of their own 5-year ranges. The historical entry context is broadly similar for both. This reflects entry timing, not which company is structurally stronger.

Describes historical entry positioning only. Descriptive — not investment advice.

Relative Position vs Comparable Companies
Profitability
PulteGroup, Inc. ranks near the top of the group on profitability; Toll Brothers, Inc. sits in the weaker half.
Stability
PulteGroup, Inc. sits in the stronger part of the group on stability, while Toll Brothers, Inc. is closer to mid-pack.
Profitability — Dominant Gap
PHM
67
TOL
38
Gap+29in favour of PHM

The profitability gap is wide, with the stronger side earning materially better operating marks.

What else supports the lead

Stability adds another layer of support rather than leaving the result tied to profitability alone.

What this means for the comparison

The lead is built on both profitability and stability, making it broader than a single-dimension result.

Explore full peer positioning in AssetNext

Break down the PHM vs TOL comparison across all dimensions with the full interactive tool.

Explore full breakdown →
Similar profitability-and-stability comparisons

Explore how PHM and TOL each compare against other companies in their peer groups.

Rule-based, descriptive analysis only. Derived from peer percentile dimensions. Not investment advice. Peer groups are determined algorithmically based on structural similarity — not by sector classification alone.

How AssetNext Peer Scores Work

AssetNext scores reflect each company's structural position within its functional peer group — not a ranking against all stocks simultaneously. Peers are identified by similarity across eight financial dimensions, including revenue growth trajectory, margin structure, capital intensity, and earnings stability. A score of 75 means the company ranks in the top quartile within its own peer group, not the entire market.

Four dimension scores drive the overall peer score: Growth (revenue trajectory and expansion dynamics), Quality (margin structure and capital efficiency), Valuation (peer-relative pricing on standard multiples), and Stability (earnings consistency and financial predictability). Each dimension is scored 0–100 relative to the peer group, then combined into an overall peer score using equal weighting.

Because scores are peer-relative, the same company can have slightly different scores in different index universes. On comparison pages, both companies are shown within their shared peer universe wherever possible — so the scores are directly comparable. The peer basis is stated on each score card.

Scores are recalculated periodically as underlying financial data is updated. All analysis is descriptive and rule-based — AssetNext describes structural realities and never issues buy, sell or hold recommendations.