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McDonald's vs MSCI: Which Stock Looks Stronger in 2026?

McDonald's holds the cleaner structural position, with stability as the main driver and profitability adding further support. MSCI still has the edge on profitability, which keeps the comparison from looking entirely one-sided. Both sides have seen trend damage — neither carries a clear market edge right now. With both trends damaged, the structural comparison carries most of the weight here.

The comparison is based on similar long-term financial trajectories, not sector labels. Both peer scores are relative to the S&P 500 universe, making them directly comparable.

Updated 2026-08-16

Most of the separation is still concentrated in stability.

Trajectory Similarity
0.66
Moderately similar
Peer-set rank: #11
within McDonald's Corporation's functional peer set

This comparison is anchored in long-term financial trajectory similarity within the selected peer universe.

The pair shares a valid long-term profile match, but the trajectories are not especially close.

The strongest overlap appears in margin consistency and revenue stability.

Similarity drivers
margin consistencyrevenue stability
How to read the score
0.85–1.00 · Very similar0.70–0.84 · Similar0.55–0.69 · Moderately similarbelow 0.55 · Loose match
Peer-Relative Score
MCD
McDonald's Corporation
59
Peer-Score
Signal qualitylow
Peer basis: S&P 500
vs
MSCI
MSCI Inc.
53
Peer-Score
Signal qualitylow
Peer basis: S&P 500

Scores reflect position relative to comparable companies with similar long-term financial trajectories.

The clearest separation appears in stability.

Dimension spread: MCD vs MSCI Profitability 31 72 Stability 91 26 Valuation 75 52 Growth 45 51 MCD MSCI
Gap Ranking
#1 Stability +65
#2 Profitability +41
#3 Valuation +23
#4 Growth +6
Price Setup

Left means cheaper relative valuation. Higher means stronger structure.

Price setup map for MCD and MSCI Stronger + cheaper Stronger + richer Weaker + cheaper Weaker + richer MCDMSCI Relative valuation Structural strength

McDonald's Corporation and MSCI Inc. look relatively close on structure, but the price setup still leans toward McDonald's Corporation.

Valuation position uses peer-relative PE percentile (idx_pct_pe) where available.

Entry today — historical context

Where MCD and MSCI each sit in their own 5-year price and valuation history.

BASED ON 5-YEAR HISTORY MCD Neutral · below norm 0th 50th 100th 22 pct gap MSCI Elevated · below norm 0th 50th 100th 56th 78th
Today MCD sits in the upper-middle of its own 5-year history (56th percentile), while MSCI sits higher in its own history (78th). Within each stock's own 5-year context, MCD is at a historically more favourable entry position than MSCI. This reflects entry timing, not which company is structurally stronger — peer-relative analysis is a separate question addressed above.

Describes historical entry positioning only. Descriptive — not investment advice.

Relative Position vs Comparable Companies
Stability
McDonald's Corporation ranks near the top of the group on stability; MSCI Inc. sits in the weaker half.
Profitability
The same broad pattern appears on profitability: MSCI Inc. ranks near the top of the group, while McDonald's Corporation stays in the weaker half.
Stability — Dominant Gap
MCD
91
MSCI
26
Gap+65in favour of MCD

The clearest distance comes from a steadier profile over time.

What keeps the gap from being one-sided

Profitability still favours MSCI, with a 9.8-point operating margin advantage keeping the comparison from looking fully resolved.

What this means for the comparison

Stability points more clearly to McDonald's Corporation, but profitability and current pricing keep the broader result mixed.

Explore full peer positioning in AssetNext

Break down the MCD vs MSCI comparison across all dimensions with the full interactive tool.

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Other comparisons with conflicting dimension signals

Explore how MCD and MSCI each compare against other companies in their peer groups.

Rule-based, descriptive analysis only. Derived from peer percentile dimensions. Not investment advice. Peer groups are determined algorithmically based on structural similarity — not by sector classification alone.

How AssetNext Peer Scores Work

AssetNext scores reflect each company's structural position within its functional peer group — not a ranking against all stocks simultaneously. Peers are identified by similarity across eight financial dimensions, including revenue growth trajectory, margin structure, capital intensity, and earnings stability. A score of 75 means the company ranks in the top quartile within its own peer group, not the entire market.

Four dimension scores drive the overall peer score: Growth (revenue trajectory and expansion dynamics), Quality (margin structure and capital efficiency), Valuation (peer-relative pricing on standard multiples), and Stability (earnings consistency and financial predictability). Each dimension is scored 0–100 relative to the peer group, then combined into an overall peer score using equal weighting.

Because scores are peer-relative, the same company can have slightly different scores in different index universes. On comparison pages, both companies are shown within their shared peer universe wherever possible — so the scores are directly comparable. The peer basis is stated on each score card.

Scores are recalculated periodically as underlying financial data is updated. All analysis is descriptive and rule-based — AssetNext describes structural realities and never issues buy, sell or hold recommendations.