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Mastercard vs McDonald's: Which Stock Looks Stronger in 2026?

Mastercard leads structurally, with profitability as the clearest single gap between the two profiles. McDonald's still has the edge on stability, which keeps the comparison from looking entirely one-sided. Both sides have seen trend damage — neither carries a clear market edge right now. With both trends damaged, the structural comparison carries most of the weight here.

The comparison is based on similar long-term financial trajectories, not sector labels. Both peer scores are relative to the S&P 500 universe, making them directly comparable.

Updated 2026-05-17

Profitability still does most of the heavy lifting in this comparison. Mastercard Incorporated leads by 11 points on the overall comparison score.

Trajectory Similarity
0.66
Moderately similar
Peer-set rank: #21
within Mastercard Incorporated's functional peer set

This pair is matched through long-term financial trajectory similarity within the selected peer universe.

The pair shares a valid long-term profile match, but the trajectories are not especially close.

The clearest structural overlap shows up in margin consistency and revenue stability.

Similarity drivers
margin consistencyrevenue stability
How to read the score
0.85–1.00 · Very similar0.70–0.84 · Similar0.55–0.69 · Moderately similarbelow 0.55 · Loose match
Peer-Relative Score
MA
Mastercard Incorporated
71
Peer-Score
Signal qualitylow
Peer basis: S&P 500
vs
MCD
McDonald's Corporation
60
Peer-Score
Signal qualitylow
Peer basis: S&P 500

Scores reflect position relative to comparable companies with similar long-term financial trajectories.

Score differences across key dimensions.

Dimension spread: MA vs MCD Profitability 93 36 Stability 58 80 Valuation 60 69 Growth 71 63 MA MCD
Gap Ranking
#1 Profitability +57
#2 Stability +22
#3 Valuation +9
#4 Growth +8
Price Setup

Left means cheaper relative valuation. Higher means stronger structure.

Price setup map for MA and MCD Stronger + cheaper Stronger + richer Weaker + cheaper Weaker + richer MAMCD Relative valuation Structural strength

Mastercard Incorporated is stronger, but the price setup still looks more supportive for McDonald's Corporation.

Valuation position uses peer-relative PE percentile (idx_pct_pe) where available.

Entry today — historical context

Where MA and MCD each sit in their own 5-year price and valuation history.

BASED ON 5-YEAR HISTORY MA Neutral · below norm 0th 50th 100th 8 pct gap MCD Neutral · below norm 0th 50th 100th 69th 61st
MA (69th percentile) and MCD (61st percentile) both sit in the upper-middle of their own 5-year ranges. The historical entry context is broadly similar for both. This reflects entry timing, not which company is structurally stronger.

Describes historical entry positioning only. Descriptive — not investment advice.

Relative Position vs Comparable Companies
Profitability
Mastercard Incorporated ranks near the top of the group on profitability; McDonald's Corporation sits in the weaker half.
Stability
On stability, the same pattern holds: both are strong, but McDonald's Corporation still leads clearly.
Profitability — Dominant Gap
MA
93
MCD
36
Gap+57in favour of MA

The profitability lead is mainly driven by a 16.6-point operating margin advantage.

What keeps the gap from being one-sided

McDonald's Corporation still looks less cycle-sensitive — that keeps the result from looking completely one-sided.

What this means for the comparison

The profitability lead is clear, but pricing and stability still pull in the other direction — the result holds, but not without friction.

Explore full peer positioning in AssetNext

Break down the MA vs MCD comparison across all dimensions with the full interactive tool.

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Other comparisons with conflicting dimension signals

Explore how MA and MCD each compare against other companies in their peer groups.

Rule-based, descriptive analysis only. Derived from peer percentile dimensions. Not investment advice. Peer groups are determined algorithmically based on structural similarity — not by sector classification alone.

How AssetNext Peer Scores Work

AssetNext scores reflect each company's structural position within its functional peer group — not a ranking against all stocks simultaneously. Peers are identified by similarity across eight financial dimensions, including revenue growth trajectory, margin structure, capital intensity, and earnings stability. A score of 75 means the company ranks in the top quartile within its own peer group, not the entire market.

Four dimension scores drive the overall peer score: Growth (revenue trajectory and expansion dynamics), Quality (margin structure and capital efficiency), Valuation (peer-relative pricing on standard multiples), and Stability (earnings consistency and financial predictability). Each dimension is scored 0–100 relative to the peer group, then combined into an overall peer score using equal weighting.

Because scores are peer-relative, the same company can have slightly different scores in different index universes. On comparison pages, both companies are shown within their shared peer universe wherever possible — so the scores are directly comparable. The peer basis is stated on each score card.

Scores are recalculated periodically as underlying financial data is updated. All analysis is descriptive and rule-based — AssetNext describes structural realities and never issues buy, sell or hold recommendations.