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Stock Comparison · Single-driver result

Marathon Petroleum vs Shell: Which Stock Looks Stronger in 2026?

The structural profiles are close, with Marathon Petroleum carrying a narrow edge on profitability. Shell still has the edge on stability, which keeps the comparison from looking entirely one-sided. The market setup is broadly comparable for both — no clear directional signal from price behavior. The market is not adding a decisive signal either way — the structural read carries the weight.

The comparison is based on similar long-term financial trajectories, not sector labels.

Updated 2026-04-05

Profitability still does most of the heavy lifting in this comparison.

Trajectory Similarity
0.75
Similar
Peer-set rank: #10
within Marathon Petroleum Corporation's functional peer set

This pair is matched through long-term financial trajectory similarity within the selected peer universe.

The pair sits on a clearly comparable long-term path, though it is not a near-twin match.

The strongest overlap appears in revenue stability and margin trend.

Similarity drivers
revenue stabilitymargin trend
How to read the score
0.85–1.00 · Very similar0.70–0.84 · Similar0.55–0.69 · Moderately similarbelow 0.55 · Loose match
Peer-Relative Score
MPC
Marathon Petroleum Corporation
69
Peer-Score
Signal qualityMedium
vs
SHELL.AS
Shell plc
65
Peer-Score
Signal qualityMedium

Scores reflect position relative to comparable companies with similar long-term financial trajectories.

The clearest separation appears in profitability.

Dimension spread: MPC vs SHELL.AS Profitability 68 52 Stability 54 64 Valuation 81 78 Growth 67 66 MPC SHELL.AS
Gap Ranking
#1 Profitability +16
#2 Stability +10
#3 Valuation +3
#4 Growth +1
Price Setup

Left means cheaper relative valuation. Higher means stronger structure.

Price setup map for MPC and SHELL.AS Stronger + cheaper Stronger + richer Weaker + cheaper Weaker + richer MPCSHELL.AS Relative valuation Structural strength

Structure stays fairly close here, while current pricing still looks more supportive for Marathon Petroleum Corporation.

Valuation position uses peer-relative PE percentile (idx_pct_pe) where available.

Relative Position vs Comparable Companies
Profitability
Both look solid on profitability, though Marathon Petroleum Corporation still holds the stronger peer position.
Stability
Stability also leans toward Marathon Petroleum Corporation, reinforcing the broader structural lead.
Profitability — Dominant Gap
MPC
68
SHELL.AS
52
Gap+16in favour of MPC

Return on equity adds support too, with a 14-point advantage.

What keeps the gap from being one-sided

Stability still leans toward Shell plc, so the lead is real without reading as one-way.

What this means for the comparison

Profitability is the clearest driver of the lead, with stability adding further support — though stability still provides a real counterweight.

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Break down the MPC vs SHELL.AS comparison across all dimensions with the full interactive tool.

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Similar profitability-and-stability comparisons

Explore how MPC and SHELL.AS each compare against other companies in their peer groups.

Rule-based, descriptive analysis only. Derived from peer percentile dimensions. Not investment advice. Peer groups are determined algorithmically based on structural similarity — not by sector classification alone.

How AssetNext Peer Scores Work

AssetNext scores reflect each company's structural position within its functional peer group — not a ranking against all stocks simultaneously. Peers are identified by similarity across eight financial dimensions, including revenue growth trajectory, margin structure, capital intensity, and earnings stability. A score of 75 means the company ranks in the top quartile within its own peer group, not the entire market.

Four dimension scores drive the overall peer score: Growth (revenue trajectory and expansion dynamics), Quality (margin structure and capital efficiency), Valuation (peer-relative pricing on standard multiples), and Stability (earnings consistency and financial predictability). Each dimension is scored 0–100 relative to the peer group, then combined into an overall peer score using equal weighting.

Scores are recalculated periodically as underlying financial data is updated. All analysis is descriptive and rule-based — AssetNext describes structural realities and never issues buy, sell or hold recommendations.