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Stock Comparison · Structural lead, mixed market

Lumentum Holdings vs Moderna: Which Stock Looks Stronger in 2026?

Lumentum holds the cleaner structural position, with the lead spread across profitability and stability. Moderna still has the edge on growth, which keeps the comparison from looking entirely one-sided. The market setup is broadly comparable for both — no clear directional signal from price behavior. The market is not adding a decisive signal either way — the structural read carries the weight.

The comparison is based on similar long-term financial trajectories, not sector labels. Both peer scores are relative to the Russell 1000 universe, making them directly comparable.

Updated 2026-05-17

The lead is spread across profitability and stability, rather than sitting in one isolated gap. The overall score gap is 10 points in favour of Lumentum Holdings Inc..

Trajectory Similarity
0.66
Moderately similar
Peer-set rank: #4
within Lumentum Holdings Inc.'s functional peer set

These two companies are linked by measured long-term financial trajectory similarity within the selected peer universe.

A moderate similarity means the pair is structurally comparable, but not a near-twin trajectory match.

The clearest structural overlap shows up in revenue stability.

Similarity drivers
revenue stability
What reduces the match
margin consistency
How to read the score
0.85–1.00 · Very similar0.70–0.84 · Similar0.55–0.69 · Moderately similarbelow 0.55 · Loose match
Peer-Relative Score
LITE
Lumentum Holdings Inc.
46
Peer-Score
Signal qualitylow
Peer basis: Russell 1000
vs
MRNA
Moderna, Inc.
36
Peer-Score
Signal qualitylow
Peer basis: Russell 1000

Scores reflect position relative to comparable companies with similar long-term financial trajectories.

The largest gaps do not all point in the same direction.

Dimension spread: LITE vs MRNA Profitability 47 13 Stability 42 17 Valuation 21 30 Growth 87 100 LITE MRNA
Gap Ranking
#1 Profitability +34
#2 Stability +25
#3 Growth +13
#4 Valuation +9
Price Setup

Left means cheaper relative valuation. Higher means stronger structure.

Price setup map for LITE and MRNA Stronger + cheaper Stronger + richer Weaker + cheaper Weaker + richer LITEMRNA Relative valuation Structural strength

Lumentum Holdings Inc. still looks stronger overall, though current pricing looks more supportive for Moderna, Inc..

Valuation position uses peer-relative PE percentile (idx_pct_pe) and peer-relative valuation score where available.

Entry today — historical context

Where LITE and MRNA each sit in their own 5-year price and valuation history.

BASED ON 5-YEAR HISTORY LITE Elevated · above norm 0th 50th 100th 73 pct gap MRNA Lower · below norm 0th 50th 100th 99th 26th
Today MRNA sits in the lower-middle of its own 5-year history (26th percentile), while LITE sits higher in its own history (99th). Within each stock's own 5-year context, MRNA is at a historically more favourable entry position than LITE. This reflects entry timing, not which company is structurally stronger — peer-relative analysis is a separate question addressed above.

Describes historical entry positioning only. Descriptive — not investment advice.

Relative Position vs Comparable Companies
Profitability
Lumentum Holdings Inc. sits higher in the group on profitability, adding to the overall structural advantage.
Stability
Lumentum Holdings Inc. sits higher in the group on stability, adding to the overall structural advantage.
Profitability — Dominant Gap
LITE
47
MRNA
13
Gap+34in favour of LITE

The profitability lead is mainly driven by a 153-point operating margin advantage.

What keeps the gap from being one-sided

Moderna still pushes back on growth by a very wide margin, which keeps the read from becoming one-way.

What this means for the comparison

The lead is built on both profitability and stability — though growth still provides a counterweight.

Explore full peer positioning in AssetNext

Break down the LITE vs MRNA comparison across all dimensions with the full interactive tool.

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Similar profitability-and-stability comparisons

Explore how LITE and MRNA each compare against other companies in their peer groups.

Rule-based, descriptive analysis only. Derived from peer percentile dimensions. Not investment advice. Peer groups are determined algorithmically based on structural similarity — not by sector classification alone.

How AssetNext Peer Scores Work

AssetNext scores reflect each company's structural position within its functional peer group — not a ranking against all stocks simultaneously. Peers are identified by similarity across eight financial dimensions, including revenue growth trajectory, margin structure, capital intensity, and earnings stability. A score of 75 means the company ranks in the top quartile within its own peer group, not the entire market.

Four dimension scores drive the overall peer score: Growth (revenue trajectory and expansion dynamics), Quality (margin structure and capital efficiency), Valuation (peer-relative pricing on standard multiples), and Stability (earnings consistency and financial predictability). Each dimension is scored 0–100 relative to the peer group, then combined into an overall peer score using equal weighting.

Because scores are peer-relative, the same company can have slightly different scores in different index universes. On comparison pages, both companies are shown within their shared peer universe wherever possible — so the scores are directly comparable. The peer basis is stated on each score card.

Scores are recalculated periodically as underlying financial data is updated. All analysis is descriptive and rule-based — AssetNext describes structural realities and never issues buy, sell or hold recommendations.