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Lottomatica Group S.p.A. vs On Holding: Which Stock Looks Stronger in 2026?

The structural profiles are close, with On carrying a narrow edge on stability. Lottomatica S.p.A still has the edge on stability, which keeps the comparison from looking entirely one-sided. The market setup is currently leaning toward Lottomatica S.p.A, which does not confirm the structural lead. That leaves a split case: the structural lead stays with On, but the market is not currently confirming it.

The comparison is based on similar long-term financial trajectories, not sector labels. Peer scores are normalised within each company's primary universe (LTMC.MI: STOXX 600, ONON: Russell 1000).

Updated 2026-05-17

The page question resolves through stability, where Lottomatica Group S.p.A. holds the stronger read even though the broader score still favours On Holding AG.

Trajectory Similarity
0.67
Moderately similar
Peer-set rank: #9
within Lottomatica Group S.p.A.'s functional peer set

These two companies are linked by measured long-term financial trajectory similarity within the selected peer universe.

This level of similarity points to a meaningful structural match, though not a tight one.

The clearest structural overlap shows up in margin consistency and revenue stability.

Similarity drivers
margin consistencyrevenue stability
What reduces the match
revenue growth trajectory
How to read the score
0.85–1.00 · Very similar0.70–0.84 · Similar0.55–0.69 · Moderately similarbelow 0.55 · Loose match
Peer-Relative Score
LTMC.MI
Lottomatica Group S.p.A.
49
Peer-Score
Signal qualitylow
Peer basis: STOXX 600
vs
ONON
On Holding AG
50
Peer-Score
Signal qualitylow
Peer basis: Russell 1000

Scores reflect position relative to comparable companies with similar long-term financial trajectories.

The clearest separation appears in stability.

Dimension spread: LTMC.MI vs ONON Profitability 43 62 Stability 63 30 Valuation 43 52 Growth 52 50 LTMC.MI ONON
Gap Ranking
#1 Stability +33
#2 Profitability +19
#3 Valuation +9
#4 Growth +2
Price Setup

Left means cheaper relative valuation. Higher means stronger structure.

Price setup map for LTMC.MI and ONON Stronger + cheaper Stronger + richer Weaker + cheaper Weaker + richer LTMC.MIONON Relative valuation Structural strength

The setup is mixed: neither company clearly combines the stronger profile with the more supportive price setup.

Valuation position uses peer-relative PE percentile (idx_pct_pe) where available.

Entry today — historical context

Where LTMC.MI and ONON each sit in their own 3.1-year price and valuation history.

BASED ON 3.1-YEAR HISTORY LTMC.MI Elevated · near norm 0th 50th 100th 39 pct gap ONON Neutral · below norm 0th 50th 100th 98th 59th
Today ONON sits in the upper-middle of its own 5-year history (59th percentile), while LTMC.MI sits higher in its own history (98th). Within each stock's own 5-year context, ONON is at a historically more favourable entry position than LTMC.MI. This reflects entry timing, not which company is structurally stronger — peer-relative analysis is a separate question addressed above.

Describes historical entry positioning only. Descriptive — not investment advice.

Relative Position vs Comparable Companies
Stability
Lottomatica Group S.p.A. sits in the stronger part of the group on stability, while On Holding AG is closer to mid-pack.
Profitability
Both look solid on profitability, though On Holding AG still holds the stronger peer position.
Stability — Dominant Gap
LTMC.MI
63
ONON
30
Gap+33in favour of LTMC.MI

The stability gap is wide, with the stronger side looking materially steadier through time.

What keeps the gap from being one-sided

Lottomatica Group S.p.A. still looks less cycle-sensitive — that keeps the result from looking completely one-sided.

What this means for the comparison

Stability is the clearest driver of the lead, with profitability adding further support — though stability still provides a real counterweight.

Explore full peer positioning in AssetNext

Break down the LTMC.MI vs ONON comparison across all dimensions with the full interactive tool.

Explore full breakdown →
Other comparisons with conflicting dimension signals

Explore how LTMC.MI and ONON each compare against other companies in their peer groups.

Rule-based, descriptive analysis only. Derived from peer percentile dimensions. Not investment advice. Peer groups are determined algorithmically based on structural similarity — not by sector classification alone.

How AssetNext Peer Scores Work

AssetNext scores reflect each company's structural position within its functional peer group — not a ranking against all stocks simultaneously. Peers are identified by similarity across eight financial dimensions, including revenue growth trajectory, margin structure, capital intensity, and earnings stability. A score of 75 means the company ranks in the top quartile within its own peer group, not the entire market.

Four dimension scores drive the overall peer score: Growth (revenue trajectory and expansion dynamics), Quality (margin structure and capital efficiency), Valuation (peer-relative pricing on standard multiples), and Stability (earnings consistency and financial predictability). Each dimension is scored 0–100 relative to the peer group, then combined into an overall peer score using equal weighting.

Because scores are peer-relative, the same company can have slightly different scores in different index universes. On comparison pages, both companies are shown within their shared peer universe wherever possible — so the scores are directly comparable. The peer basis is stated on each score card.

Scores are recalculated periodically as underlying financial data is updated. All analysis is descriptive and rule-based — AssetNext describes structural realities and never issues buy, sell or hold recommendations.