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Stock Comparison · Single-driver result

Lottomatica Group S.p.A. vs MercadoLibre: Which Stock Looks Stronger in 2026?

The structural profiles are close, with MercadoLibre carrying a narrow edge on stability. Lottomatica S.p.A still has the edge on stability, which keeps the comparison from looking entirely one-sided. The market setup is currently leaning toward Lottomatica S.p.A, which does not confirm the structural lead. That leaves a split case: the structural lead stays with MercadoLibre, but the market is not currently confirming it.

The comparison is based on similar long-term financial trajectories, not sector labels. Peer scores are normalised within each company's primary universe (LTMC.MI: STOXX 600, MELI: Nasdaq 100).

Updated 2026-05-17

On stability, the clearer edge sits with Lottomatica Group S.p.A., while the overall score remains tighter and points the other way.

Trajectory Similarity
0.68
Moderately similar
Peer-set rank: #6
within Lottomatica Group S.p.A.'s functional peer set

This comparison is anchored in long-term financial trajectory similarity within the selected peer universe.

A moderate similarity means the pair is structurally comparable, but not a near-twin trajectory match.

The match is driven mainly by margin consistency and capital structure.

Similarity drivers
margin consistencycapital structure
What reduces the match
revenue growth trajectory
How to read the score
0.85–1.00 · Very similar0.70–0.84 · Similar0.55–0.69 · Moderately similarbelow 0.55 · Loose match
Peer-Relative Score
LTMC.MI
Lottomatica Group S.p.A.
49
Peer-Score
Signal qualitylow
Peer basis: STOXX 600
vs
MELI
MercadoLibre, Inc.
54
Peer-Score
Signal qualitylow
Peer basis: Nasdaq 100

Scores reflect position relative to comparable companies with similar long-term financial trajectories.

The clearest separation appears in stability.

Dimension spread: LTMC.MI vs MELI Profitability 43 65 Stability 63 35 Valuation 43 59 Growth 52 50 LTMC.MI MELI
Gap Ranking
#1 Stability +28
#2 Profitability +22
#3 Valuation +16
#4 Growth +2
Price Setup

Left means cheaper relative valuation. Higher means stronger structure.

Price setup map for LTMC.MI and MELI Stronger + cheaper Stronger + richer Weaker + cheaper Weaker + richer LTMC.MIMELI Relative valuation Structural strength

The structural gap is limited here, but current pricing still leans against Lottomatica Group S.p.A..

Valuation position uses peer-relative PE percentile (idx_pct_pe) where available.

Entry today — historical context

Where LTMC.MI and MELI each sit in their own 3.1-year price and valuation history.

BASED ON 3.1-YEAR HISTORY LTMC.MI Elevated · near norm 0th 50th 100th 50 pct gap MELI Neutral · below norm 0th 50th 100th 98th 48th
Today MELI sits in the lower-middle of its own 5-year history (48th percentile), while LTMC.MI sits higher in its own history (98th). Within each stock's own 5-year context, MELI is at a historically more favourable entry position than LTMC.MI. This reflects entry timing, not which company is structurally stronger — peer-relative analysis is a separate question addressed above.

Describes historical entry positioning only. Descriptive — not investment advice.

Relative Position vs Comparable Companies
Stability
On stability, Lottomatica Group S.p.A. is positioned higher in the group, while MercadoLibre, Inc. is closer to the middle.
Profitability
Both profiles are strong on profitability, but MercadoLibre, Inc. leads clearly.
Stability — Dominant Gap
LTMC.MI
63
MELI
35
Gap+28in favour of LTMC.MI

The clearest distance comes from a steadier profile over time.

What keeps the gap from being one-sided

Lottomatica Group S.p.A. still looks less cycle-sensitive — that keeps the result from looking completely one-sided.

What this means for the comparison

Stability is the clearest driver of the lead, with profitability adding further support — though stability still provides a real counterweight.

Explore full peer positioning in AssetNext

Break down the LTMC.MI vs MELI comparison across all dimensions with the full interactive tool.

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Other comparisons with conflicting dimension signals

Explore how LTMC.MI and MELI each compare against other companies in their peer groups.

Rule-based, descriptive analysis only. Derived from peer percentile dimensions. Not investment advice. Peer groups are determined algorithmically based on structural similarity — not by sector classification alone.

How AssetNext Peer Scores Work

AssetNext scores reflect each company's structural position within its functional peer group — not a ranking against all stocks simultaneously. Peers are identified by similarity across eight financial dimensions, including revenue growth trajectory, margin structure, capital intensity, and earnings stability. A score of 75 means the company ranks in the top quartile within its own peer group, not the entire market.

Four dimension scores drive the overall peer score: Growth (revenue trajectory and expansion dynamics), Quality (margin structure and capital efficiency), Valuation (peer-relative pricing on standard multiples), and Stability (earnings consistency and financial predictability). Each dimension is scored 0–100 relative to the peer group, then combined into an overall peer score using equal weighting.

Because scores are peer-relative, the same company can have slightly different scores in different index universes. On comparison pages, both companies are shown within their shared peer universe wherever possible — so the scores are directly comparable. The peer basis is stated on each score card.

Scores are recalculated periodically as underlying financial data is updated. All analysis is descriptive and rule-based — AssetNext describes structural realities and never issues buy, sell or hold recommendations.