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Stock Comparison · Structural lead, mixed market

Heineken Holding N.V. vs UPM-Kymmene Oyj: Which Stock Looks Stronger in 2026?

Heineken holds the cleaner structural position, with profitability as the main driver and stability adding further support. The market setup broadly confirms the structural lead — Heineken holds the more constructive position. That puts structure and market broadly in agreement — Heineken's lead looks more confirmed than conflicted.

The comparison is based on similar long-term financial trajectories, not sector labels. Both peer scores are relative to the STOXX 600 universe, making them directly comparable.

Updated 2026-07-05

The result is anchored in profitability, but stability also reinforces the same direction. The overall score gap is 12 points in favour of Heineken Holding N.V..

Trajectory Similarity
0.71
Similar
Peer-set rank: #10
within Heineken Holding N.V.'s functional peer set

These two companies are linked by measured long-term financial trajectory similarity within the selected peer universe.

This level of similarity signals a strong structural match, even though some dimensions still separate the two companies.

The clearest structural overlap shows up in capital structure and revenue stability.

Similarity drivers
capital structurerevenue stability
How to read the score
0.85–1.00 · Very similar0.70–0.84 · Similar0.55–0.69 · Moderately similarbelow 0.55 · Loose match
Peer-Relative Score
HEIO.AS
Heineken Holding N.V.
72
Peer-Score
Signal qualityMedium
Peer basis: STOXX 600
vs
UPM.HE
UPM-Kymmene Oyj
60
Peer-Score
Signal qualityMedium
Peer basis: STOXX 600

Scores reflect position relative to comparable companies with similar long-term financial trajectories.

The largest gaps do not all point in the same direction.

Dimension spread: HEIO.AS vs UPM.HE Profitability 89 59 Stability 80 70 Valuation 61 54 Growth 57 62 HEIO.AS UPM.HE
Gap Ranking
#1 Profitability +30
#2 Stability +10
#3 Valuation +7
#4 Growth +5
Price Setup

Left means cheaper relative valuation. Higher means stronger structure.

Price setup map for HEIO.AS and UPM.HE Stronger + cheaper Stronger + richer Weaker + cheaper Weaker + richer HEIO.ASUPM.HE Relative valuation Structural strength

Heineken Holding N.V. looks stronger on relative valuation, while the broader price setup remains mixed.

Valuation position uses peer-relative PE percentile (idx_pct_pe) where available.

Entry today — historical context

Where HEIO.AS and UPM.HE each sit in their own 5-year price and valuation history.

BASED ON 5-YEAR HISTORY HEIO.AS Elevated · above norm 0th 50th 100th 55 pct gap UPM.HE Lower · below norm 0th 50th 100th 71st 16th
Today UPM.HE sits in the lower portion of its own 5-year history (16th percentile), while HEIO.AS sits higher in its own history (71st). Within each stock's own 5-year context, UPM.HE is at a historically more favourable entry position than HEIO.AS. This reflects entry timing, not which company is structurally stronger — peer-relative analysis is a separate question addressed above.

Describes historical entry positioning only. Descriptive — not investment advice.

Relative Position vs Comparable Companies
Profitability
Both profiles are strong on profitability, but Heineken Holding N.V. leads clearly.
Stability
On stability, the same pattern holds: both rank well, but Heineken Holding N.V. still sits higher.
Profitability — Dominant Gap
HEIO.AS
89
UPM.HE
59
Gap+30in favour of HEIO.AS

Capital efficiency adds support, with a 7-point ROIC advantage.

What else supports the lead

Stability adds another layer of support rather than leaving the result tied to profitability alone.

What this means for the comparison

Profitability is the clearest driver, and stability also supports Heineken Holding N.V.'s broader structural position.

Explore full peer positioning in AssetNext

Break down the HEIO.AS vs UPM.HE comparison across all dimensions with the full interactive tool.

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Similar profitability-driven comparisons

Explore how HEIO.AS and UPM.HE each compare against other companies in their peer groups.

Rule-based, descriptive analysis only. Derived from peer percentile dimensions. Not investment advice. Peer groups are determined algorithmically based on structural similarity — not by sector classification alone.

How AssetNext Peer Scores Work

AssetNext scores reflect each company's structural position within its functional peer group — not a ranking against all stocks simultaneously. Peers are identified by similarity across eight financial dimensions, including revenue growth trajectory, margin structure, capital intensity, and earnings stability. A score of 75 means the company ranks in the top quartile within its own peer group, not the entire market.

Four dimension scores drive the overall peer score: Growth (revenue trajectory and expansion dynamics), Quality (margin structure and capital efficiency), Valuation (peer-relative pricing on standard multiples), and Stability (earnings consistency and financial predictability). Each dimension is scored 0–100 relative to the peer group, then combined into an overall peer score using equal weighting.

Because scores are peer-relative, the same company can have slightly different scores in different index universes. On comparison pages, both companies are shown within their shared peer universe wherever possible — so the scores are directly comparable. The peer basis is stated on each score card.

Scores are recalculated periodically as underlying financial data is updated. All analysis is descriptive and rule-based — AssetNext describes structural realities and never issues buy, sell or hold recommendations.