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FedEx vs United Parcel Service: Which Stock Looks Stronger in 2026?

The structural profiles are close, with United Parcel Service carrying a narrow edge on growth. FedEx still has the edge on growth, which keeps the comparison from looking entirely one-sided. In the market, FedEx carries the stronger setup — intact trend against United Parcel Service's broken trend. That leaves a split case: the structural lead stays with United Parcel Service, but the market is not currently confirming it.

The comparison is based on similar long-term financial trajectories, not sector labels. Both peer scores are relative to the S&P 500 universe, making them directly comparable.

Updated 2026-05-17

Growth points more clearly toward FedEx Corporation, even if the broader score still leans toward United Parcel Service, Inc..

INDUSTRY COMPARISON

Both operate in: Integrated Freight & Logistics

This comparison is based on industry proximity, not on functional trajectory similarity. FDX and UPS share the same industry classification.

For a similarity-based comparison, see how FedEx and United Parcel Service each position within their functional peer groups in AssetNext.

Peer-Relative Score
FDX
FedEx Corporation
57
Peer-Score
Signal qualitylow
Peer basis: S&P 500
vs
UPS
United Parcel Service, Inc.
60
Peer-Score
Signal qualitylow
Peer basis: S&P 500

Scores reflect position relative to comparable companies with similar long-term financial trajectories.

The clearest separation appears in growth.

Dimension spread: FDX vs UPS Profitability 31 65 Stability 52 49 Valuation 73 88 Growth 76 22 FDX UPS
Gap Ranking
#1 Growth +54
#2 Profitability +34
#3 Valuation +15
#4 Stability +3
Price Setup

Left means cheaper relative valuation. Higher means stronger structure.

Price setup map for FDX and UPS Stronger + cheaper Stronger + richer Weaker + cheaper Weaker + richer FDXUPS Relative valuation Structural strength

The structural gap is limited here, but current pricing still leans against FedEx Corporation.

Valuation position uses peer-relative PE percentile (idx_pct_pe) where available.

Entry today — historical context

Where FDX and UPS each sit in their own 5-year price and valuation history.

BASED ON 5-YEAR HISTORY FDX Elevated · above norm 0th 50th 100th 82 pct gap UPS Lower · near norm 0th 50th 100th 98th 15th
Today UPS sits in the lower portion of its own 5-year history (15th percentile), while FDX sits higher in its own history (98th). Within each stock's own 5-year context, UPS is at a historically more favourable entry position than FDX. This reflects entry timing, not which company is structurally stronger — peer-relative analysis is a separate question addressed above.

Describes historical entry positioning only. Descriptive — not investment advice.

Relative Position vs Comparable Companies
Growth
On growth, FedEx Corporation ranks near the top of the group; United Parcel Service, Inc. sits in the weaker half.
Profitability
On profitability, the gap still runs the same way: United Parcel Service, Inc. sits near the top of the group, while FedEx Corporation remains in the weaker half.
Growth — Dominant Gap
FDX
76
UPS
22
Gap+54in favour of FDX

The main growth separation is very wide, driven by a meaningfully stronger expansion profile.

What keeps the gap from being one-sided

On the market side, FedEx carries the stronger trend while United Parcel Service's trend has broken — the market setup does not confirm the structural advantage.

What this means for the comparison

Growth is the clearest driver of the lead, with profitability adding further support — though growth still provides a real counterweight.

Explore full peer positioning in AssetNext

Break down the FDX vs UPS comparison across all dimensions with the full interactive tool.

Explore full breakdown →
Other comparisons with conflicting dimension signals

Explore how FDX and UPS each compare against other companies in their peer groups.

Rule-based, descriptive analysis only. Derived from peer percentile dimensions. Not investment advice. Peer groups are determined algorithmically based on structural similarity — not by sector classification alone.

How AssetNext Peer Scores Work

AssetNext scores reflect each company's structural position within its functional peer group — not a ranking against all stocks simultaneously. Peers are identified by similarity across eight financial dimensions, including revenue growth trajectory, margin structure, capital intensity, and earnings stability. A score of 75 means the company ranks in the top quartile within its own peer group, not the entire market.

Four dimension scores drive the overall peer score: Growth (revenue trajectory and expansion dynamics), Quality (margin structure and capital efficiency), Valuation (peer-relative pricing on standard multiples), and Stability (earnings consistency and financial predictability). Each dimension is scored 0–100 relative to the peer group, then combined into an overall peer score using equal weighting.

Because scores are peer-relative, the same company can have slightly different scores in different index universes. On comparison pages, both companies are shown within their shared peer universe wherever possible — so the scores are directly comparable. The peer basis is stated on each score card.

Scores are recalculated periodically as underlying financial data is updated. All analysis is descriptive and rule-based — AssetNext describes structural realities and never issues buy, sell or hold recommendations.