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Stock Comparison · Industry comparison · Discount Stores

Dollar Tree vs Walmart: Which Stock Looks Stronger in 2026?

The structural profiles are close, with Dollar Tree carrying a narrow edge on stability. Walmart still leads on profitability and stability, which keeps the comparison from looking entirely one-sided. In the market, Walmart carries the stronger setup — intact trend against Dollar Tree's broken trend. That leaves a split case: the structural lead stays with Dollar Tree, but the market is not currently confirming it.

The comparison is based on similar long-term financial trajectories, not sector labels.

Updated 2026-04-05

On stability, the clearer edge sits with Walmart Inc., while the overall score remains tighter and points the other way.

INDUSTRY COMPARISON

Both operate in: Discount Stores

This comparison is based on industry proximity, not on functional trajectory similarity. DLTR and WMT share the same industry classification.

For a similarity-based comparison, see how Dollar Tree and Walmart each position within their functional peer groups in AssetNext.

Peer-Relative Score
DLTR
Dollar Tree, Inc.
62
Peer-Score
Signal qualityMedium
vs
WMT
Walmart Inc.
58
Peer-Score
Signal qualityMedium

Scores reflect position relative to comparable companies with similar long-term financial trajectories.

The largest gaps do not all point in the same direction.

Dimension spread: DLTR vs WMT Profitability 54 73 Stability 21 76 Valuation 81 43 Growth 85 39 DLTR WMT
Gap Ranking
#1 Stability +55
#2 Growth +46
#3 Valuation +38
#4 Profitability +19
Price Setup

Left means cheaper relative valuation. Higher means stronger structure.

Price setup map for DLTR and WMT Stronger + cheaper Stronger + richer Weaker + cheaper Weaker + richer DLTRWMT Relative valuation Structural strength

Walmart Inc. occupies the cheaper side of the setup map, although Dollar Tree, Inc. still holds the stronger structural profile.

Valuation position uses peer-relative PE percentile (idx_pct_pe) where available.

Relative Position vs Comparable Companies
Stability
Walmart Inc. ranks near the top of the group on stability; Dollar Tree, Inc. sits in the weaker half.
Growth
On growth, the gap still runs the same way: Dollar Tree, Inc. sits near the top of the group, while Walmart Inc. remains in the weaker half.
Stability — Dominant Gap
DLTR
21
WMT
76
Gap+55in favour of WMT

The stability gap is very wide, with the stronger side looking materially steadier through time.

What keeps the gap from being one-sided

Walmart Inc. still carries lower volatility exposure — that difference is real enough to prevent the comparison from becoming one-sided.

What this means for the comparison

The lead is built on both stability and growth — though profitability still provides a counterweight.

Explore full peer positioning in AssetNext

Break down the DLTR vs WMT comparison across all dimensions with the full interactive tool.

Explore full breakdown →
Other comparisons with conflicting dimension signals

Explore how DLTR and WMT each compare against other companies in their peer groups.

Rule-based, descriptive analysis only. Derived from peer percentile dimensions. Not investment advice. Peer groups are determined algorithmically based on structural similarity — not by sector classification alone.

How AssetNext Peer Scores Work

AssetNext scores reflect each company's structural position within its functional peer group — not a ranking against all stocks simultaneously. Peers are identified by similarity across eight financial dimensions, including revenue growth trajectory, margin structure, capital intensity, and earnings stability. A score of 75 means the company ranks in the top quartile within its own peer group, not the entire market.

Four dimension scores drive the overall peer score: Growth (revenue trajectory and expansion dynamics), Quality (margin structure and capital efficiency), Valuation (peer-relative pricing on standard multiples), and Stability (earnings consistency and financial predictability). Each dimension is scored 0–100 relative to the peer group, then combined into an overall peer score using equal weighting.

Scores are recalculated periodically as underlying financial data is updated. All analysis is descriptive and rule-based — AssetNext describes structural realities and never issues buy, sell or hold recommendations.