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Stock Comparison · Industry comparison · Discount Stores

Dollar Tree vs Walmart: Which Stock Looks Stronger in 2026?

The structural profiles are close, with Walmart carrying a narrow edge on stability. Dollar Tree still has the edge on valuation, which keeps the comparison from looking entirely one-sided. The market setup is currently leaning toward Dollar Tree, which does not confirm the structural lead. That leaves a split case: the structural lead stays with Walmart, but the market is not currently confirming it.

The comparison is based on similar long-term financial trajectories, not sector labels. Both peer scores are relative to the S&P 500 universe, making them directly comparable.

Updated 2026-07-05

The lead is spread across stability and growth, rather than sitting in one isolated gap.

INDUSTRY COMPARISON

Both operate in: Discount Stores

This comparison is based on industry proximity, not on functional trajectory similarity. DLTR and WMT share the same industry classification.

For a similarity-based comparison, see how Dollar Tree and Walmart each position within their functional peer groups in AssetNext.

Peer-Relative Score
DLTR
Dollar Tree, Inc.
60
Peer-Score
Signal qualitylow
Peer basis: S&P 500
vs
WMT
Walmart Inc.
65
Peer-Score
Signal qualitylow
Peer basis: S&P 500

Scores reflect position relative to comparable companies with similar long-term financial trajectories.

The largest gaps do not all point in the same direction.

Dimension spread: DLTR vs WMT Profitability 64 77 Stability 25 70 Valuation 83 47 Growth 53 70 DLTR WMT
Gap Ranking
#1 Stability +45
#2 Valuation +36
#3 Growth +17
#4 Profitability +13
Price Setup

Left means cheaper relative valuation. Higher means stronger structure.

Price setup map for DLTR and WMT Stronger + cheaper Stronger + richer Weaker + cheaper Weaker + richer DLTRWMT Relative valuation Structural strength

The price setup looks more supportive for Walmart Inc., but Dollar Tree, Inc. still has the stronger structure.

Valuation position uses peer-relative PE percentile (idx_pct_pe) where available.

Entry today — historical context

Where DLTR and WMT each sit in their own 5-year price and valuation history.

BASED ON 5-YEAR HISTORY DLTR Neutral · above norm 0th 50th 100th 35 pct gap WMT Elevated · near norm 0th 50th 100th 54th 89th
Today DLTR sits in the upper-middle of its own 5-year history (54th percentile), while WMT sits higher in its own history (89th). Within each stock's own 5-year context, DLTR is at a historically more favourable entry position than WMT. This reflects entry timing, not which company is structurally stronger — peer-relative analysis is a separate question addressed above.

Describes historical entry positioning only. Descriptive — not investment advice.

Relative Position vs Comparable Companies
Stability
On stability, Walmart Inc. ranks near the top of the group; Dollar Tree, Inc. sits in the weaker half.
Valuation
On valuation, the edge is clear — both rank well, but Dollar Tree, Inc. sits noticeably higher.
Stability — Dominant Gap
DLTR
25
WMT
70
Gap+45in favour of WMT

The clearest distance comes from a steadier profile over time.

What keeps the gap from being one-sided

Absolute pricing still looks more supportive for Dollar Tree, with a forward P/E that is 17.8 turns lower there.

What this means for the comparison

The stability lead is clear, but pricing and valuation still pull in the other direction — the result holds, but not without friction.

Explore full peer positioning in AssetNext

Break down the DLTR vs WMT comparison across all dimensions with the full interactive tool.

Explore full breakdown →
Other comparisons with conflicting dimension signals

Explore how DLTR and WMT each compare against other companies in their peer groups.

Rule-based, descriptive analysis only. Derived from peer percentile dimensions. Not investment advice. Peer groups are determined algorithmically based on structural similarity — not by sector classification alone.

How AssetNext Peer Scores Work

AssetNext scores reflect each company's structural position within its functional peer group — not a ranking against all stocks simultaneously. Peers are identified by similarity across eight financial dimensions, including revenue growth trajectory, margin structure, capital intensity, and earnings stability. A score of 75 means the company ranks in the top quartile within its own peer group, not the entire market.

Four dimension scores drive the overall peer score: Growth (revenue trajectory and expansion dynamics), Quality (margin structure and capital efficiency), Valuation (peer-relative pricing on standard multiples), and Stability (earnings consistency and financial predictability). Each dimension is scored 0–100 relative to the peer group, then combined into an overall peer score using equal weighting.

Because scores are peer-relative, the same company can have slightly different scores in different index universes. On comparison pages, both companies are shown within their shared peer universe wherever possible — so the scores are directly comparable. The peer basis is stated on each score card.

Scores are recalculated periodically as underlying financial data is updated. All analysis is descriptive and rule-based — AssetNext describes structural realities and never issues buy, sell or hold recommendations.