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Costco Wholesale vs Walmart: Which Stock Looks Stronger in 2026?

The structural profiles are close, with Costco Wholesale carrying a narrow edge on growth. Walmart still has the edge on stability, which keeps the comparison from looking entirely one-sided. Both sides have seen trend damage — neither carries a clear market edge right now. With both trends damaged, the structural comparison carries most of the weight here.

The comparison is based on similar long-term financial trajectories, not sector labels. Both peer scores are relative to the S&P 500 universe, making them directly comparable.

Updated 2026-07-05

Growth is the clearest driver, while stability keeps the result from looking one-way.

INDUSTRY COMPARISON

Both operate in: Discount Stores

This comparison is based on industry proximity, not on functional trajectory similarity. COST and WMT share the same industry classification.

For a similarity-based comparison, see how Costco Wholesale and Walmart each position within their functional peer groups in AssetNext.

Peer-Relative Score
COST
Costco Wholesale Corporation
66
Peer-Score
Signal qualitylow
Peer basis: S&P 500
vs
WMT
Walmart Inc.
65
Peer-Score
Signal qualitylow
Peer basis: S&P 500

Scores reflect position relative to comparable companies with similar long-term financial trajectories.

The clearest separation appears in growth.

Dimension spread: COST vs WMT Profitability 83 77 Stability 54 70 Valuation 38 47 Growth 91 70 COST WMT
Gap Ranking
#1 Growth +21
#2 Stability +16
#3 Valuation +9
#4 Profitability +6
Price Setup

Left means cheaper relative valuation. Higher means stronger structure.

Price setup map for COST and WMT Stronger + cheaper Stronger + richer Weaker + cheaper Weaker + richer COSTWMT Relative valuation Structural strength

The setup remains mixed because the stronger profile and the more supportive price setup do not sit on the same side.

Valuation position uses peer-relative PE percentile (idx_pct_pe) where available.

Entry today — historical context

Where COST and WMT each sit in their own 5-year price and valuation history.

BASED ON 5-YEAR HISTORY COST Elevated · near norm 0th 50th 100th 8 pct gap WMT Elevated · near norm 0th 50th 100th 80th 89th
COST (80th percentile) and WMT (89th percentile) both sit in the upper portion of their own 5-year ranges. The historical entry context is broadly similar for both. This reflects entry timing, not which company is structurally stronger.

Describes historical entry positioning only. Descriptive — not investment advice.

Relative Position vs Comparable Companies
Growth
Both rank well on growth, but Costco Wholesale Corporation still sits higher.
Stability
On stability, the same pattern holds: both rank well, but Walmart Inc. still sits higher.
Growth — Dominant Gap
COST
91
WMT
70
Gap+21in favour of COST

Earnings growth is one contributing factor within the growth lead.

What keeps the gap from being one-sided

Stability still tilts materially toward Walmart Inc., which stops the result from looking dominant across the whole profile.

What this means for the comparison

Growth is the clearest driver of the lead, with stability adding further support — though stability still provides a real counterweight.

Explore full peer positioning in AssetNext

Break down the COST vs WMT comparison across all dimensions with the full interactive tool.

Explore full breakdown →
Similar growth-and-stability comparisons

Explore how COST and WMT each compare against other companies in their peer groups.

Rule-based, descriptive analysis only. Derived from peer percentile dimensions. Not investment advice. Peer groups are determined algorithmically based on structural similarity — not by sector classification alone.

How AssetNext Peer Scores Work

AssetNext scores reflect each company's structural position within its functional peer group — not a ranking against all stocks simultaneously. Peers are identified by similarity across eight financial dimensions, including revenue growth trajectory, margin structure, capital intensity, and earnings stability. A score of 75 means the company ranks in the top quartile within its own peer group, not the entire market.

Four dimension scores drive the overall peer score: Growth (revenue trajectory and expansion dynamics), Quality (margin structure and capital efficiency), Valuation (peer-relative pricing on standard multiples), and Stability (earnings consistency and financial predictability). Each dimension is scored 0–100 relative to the peer group, then combined into an overall peer score using equal weighting.

Because scores are peer-relative, the same company can have slightly different scores in different index universes. On comparison pages, both companies are shown within their shared peer universe wherever possible — so the scores are directly comparable. The peer basis is stated on each score card.

Scores are recalculated periodically as underlying financial data is updated. All analysis is descriptive and rule-based — AssetNext describes structural realities and never issues buy, sell or hold recommendations.