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Costco Wholesale vs Target: Which Stock Looks Stronger in 2026?

Costco Wholesale holds the cleaner structural position, with the lead spread across growth and valuation. Target still has the edge on valuation, which keeps the comparison from looking entirely one-sided. In the market, Target carries the stronger setup — intact trend against Costco Wholesale's broken trend. That leaves a split case: the structural lead stays with Costco Wholesale, but the market is not currently confirming it.

The comparison is based on similar long-term financial trajectories, not sector labels. Both peer scores are relative to the S&P 500 universe, making them directly comparable.

Updated 2026-07-05

The clearest separation starts in growth, but stability adds another real layer to the result. Costco Wholesale Corporation leads by 10 points on the overall comparison score.

INDUSTRY COMPARISON

Both operate in: Discount Stores

This comparison is based on industry proximity, not on functional trajectory similarity. COST and TGT share the same industry classification.

For a similarity-based comparison, see how Costco Wholesale and Target each position within their functional peer groups in AssetNext.

Peer-Relative Score
COST
Costco Wholesale Corporation
66
Peer-Score
Signal qualitylow
Peer basis: S&P 500
vs
TGT
Target Corporation
56
Peer-Score
Signal qualitylow
Peer basis: S&P 500

Scores reflect position relative to comparable companies with similar long-term financial trajectories.

The largest gaps do not all point in the same direction.

Dimension spread: COST vs TGT Profitability 83 67 Stability 54 14 Valuation 38 84 Growth 91 39 COST TGT
Gap Ranking
#1 Growth +52
#2 Valuation +46
#3 Stability +40
#4 Profitability +16
Price Setup

Left means cheaper relative valuation. Higher means stronger structure.

Price setup map for COST and TGT Stronger + cheaper Stronger + richer Weaker + cheaper Weaker + richer COSTTGT Relative valuation Structural strength

Costco Wholesale Corporation looks stronger, but the price setup still looks more supportive for Target Corporation.

Valuation position uses peer-relative PE percentile (idx_pct_pe) where available.

Entry today — historical context

Where COST and TGT each sit in their own 5-year price and valuation history.

BASED ON 5-YEAR HISTORY COST Elevated · near norm 0th 50th 100th 32 pct gap TGT Neutral · near norm 0th 50th 100th 80th 48th
Today TGT sits in the lower-middle of its own 5-year history (48th percentile), while COST sits higher in its own history (80th). Within each stock's own 5-year context, TGT is at a historically more favourable entry position than COST. This reflects entry timing, not which company is structurally stronger — peer-relative analysis is a separate question addressed above.

Describes historical entry positioning only. Descriptive — not investment advice.

Relative Position vs Comparable Companies
Growth
Costco Wholesale Corporation ranks near the top of the group on growth; Target Corporation sits in the weaker half.
Valuation
On valuation, the gap still runs the same way: Target Corporation sits near the top of the group, while Costco Wholesale Corporation remains in the weaker half.
Growth — Dominant Gap
COST
91
TGT
39
Gap+52in favour of COST

Earnings growth is one contributing factor within the growth lead.

What keeps the gap from being one-sided

Absolute pricing still looks more supportive for Target, with a forward P/E that is 27 turns lower there.

What this means for the comparison

Growth settles the comparison, while pricing and valuation keep the broader setup from looking fully aligned.

Explore full peer positioning in AssetNext

Break down the COST vs TGT comparison across all dimensions with the full interactive tool.

Explore full breakdown →
Other comparisons with conflicting dimension signals

Explore how COST and TGT each compare against other companies in their peer groups.

Rule-based, descriptive analysis only. Derived from peer percentile dimensions. Not investment advice. Peer groups are determined algorithmically based on structural similarity — not by sector classification alone.

How AssetNext Peer Scores Work

AssetNext scores reflect each company's structural position within its functional peer group — not a ranking against all stocks simultaneously. Peers are identified by similarity across eight financial dimensions, including revenue growth trajectory, margin structure, capital intensity, and earnings stability. A score of 75 means the company ranks in the top quartile within its own peer group, not the entire market.

Four dimension scores drive the overall peer score: Growth (revenue trajectory and expansion dynamics), Quality (margin structure and capital efficiency), Valuation (peer-relative pricing on standard multiples), and Stability (earnings consistency and financial predictability). Each dimension is scored 0–100 relative to the peer group, then combined into an overall peer score using equal weighting.

Because scores are peer-relative, the same company can have slightly different scores in different index universes. On comparison pages, both companies are shown within their shared peer universe wherever possible — so the scores are directly comparable. The peer basis is stated on each score card.

Scores are recalculated periodically as underlying financial data is updated. All analysis is descriptive and rule-based — AssetNext describes structural realities and never issues buy, sell or hold recommendations.