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Stock Comparison · Single-driver result

Automatic Data Processing vs PayPal Holdings: Which Stock Looks Stronger in 2026?

Automatic Data Processing leads structurally, with stability as the clearest single gap between the two profiles. PayPal still has the edge on valuation, which keeps the comparison from looking entirely one-sided. Both sides have seen trend damage — neither carries a clear market edge right now. With both trends damaged, the structural comparison carries most of the weight here.

The comparison is based on similar long-term financial trajectories, not sector labels. Both peer scores are relative to the S&P 500 universe, making them directly comparable.

Updated 2026-08-16

Most of the separation is still concentrated in stability. The overall score gap is 8 points in favour of Automatic Data Processing, Inc..

Trajectory Similarity
0.68
Moderately similar
Peer-set rank: #12
within Automatic Data Processing, Inc.'s functional peer set

This comparison is anchored in long-term financial trajectory similarity within the selected peer universe.

This level of similarity points to a meaningful structural match, though not a tight one.

The clearest structural overlap shows up in investment intensity and revenue stability.

Similarity drivers
investment intensityrevenue stability
How to read the score
0.85–1.00 · Very similar0.70–0.84 · Similar0.55–0.69 · Moderately similarbelow 0.55 · Loose match
Peer-Relative Score
ADP
Automatic Data Processing, Inc.
63
Peer-Score
Signal qualitylow
Peer basis: S&P 500
vs
PYPL
PayPal Holdings, Inc.
55
Peer-Score
Signal qualitylow
Peer basis: S&P 500

Scores reflect position relative to comparable companies with similar long-term financial trajectories.

The clearest separation appears in stability.

Dimension spread: ADP vs PYPL Profitability 82 76 Stability 66 10 Valuation 67 85 Growth 24 24 ADP PYPL
Gap Ranking
#1 Stability +56
#2 Valuation +18
#3 Profitability +6
#4 Growth
Price Setup

Left means cheaper relative valuation. Higher means stronger structure.

Price setup map for ADP and PYPL Stronger + cheaper Stronger + richer Weaker + cheaper Weaker + richer ADPPYPL Relative valuation Structural strength

Automatic Data Processing, Inc. still looks stronger overall, though current pricing looks more supportive for PayPal Holdings, Inc..

Valuation position uses peer-relative PE percentile (idx_pct_pe) where available.

Entry today — historical context

Where ADP and PYPL each sit in their own 5-year price and valuation history.

BASED ON 5-YEAR HISTORY ADP Elevated · below norm 0th 50th 100th 49 pct gap PYPL Lower · below norm 0th 50th 100th 78th 30th
Today PYPL sits in the lower-middle of its own 5-year history (30th percentile), while ADP sits higher in its own history (78th). Within each stock's own 5-year context, PYPL is at a historically more favourable entry position than ADP. This reflects entry timing, not which company is structurally stronger — peer-relative analysis is a separate question addressed above.

Describes historical entry positioning only. Descriptive — not investment advice.

Relative Position vs Comparable Companies
Stability
On stability, Automatic Data Processing, Inc. ranks near the top of the group; PayPal Holdings, Inc. sits in the weaker half.
Valuation
On valuation, the same pattern holds: both rank well, but PayPal Holdings, Inc. still sits higher.
Stability — Dominant Gap
ADP
66
PYPL
10
Gap+56in favour of ADP

The stability gap is very wide, with the stronger side looking materially steadier through time.

What keeps the gap from being one-sided

Absolute pricing still looks more supportive for PayPal, with a forward P/E that is 9.7 turns lower there.

What this means for the comparison

The stability lead is clear, but pricing and valuation still pull in the other direction — the result holds, but not without friction.

Explore full peer positioning in AssetNext

Break down the ADP vs PYPL comparison across all dimensions with the full interactive tool.

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Similar stability-driven comparisons

Explore how ADP and PYPL each compare against other companies in their peer groups.

Rule-based, descriptive analysis only. Derived from peer percentile dimensions. Not investment advice. Peer groups are determined algorithmically based on structural similarity — not by sector classification alone.

How AssetNext Peer Scores Work

AssetNext scores reflect each company's structural position within its functional peer group — not a ranking against all stocks simultaneously. Peers are identified by similarity across eight financial dimensions, including revenue growth trajectory, margin structure, capital intensity, and earnings stability. A score of 75 means the company ranks in the top quartile within its own peer group, not the entire market.

Four dimension scores drive the overall peer score: Growth (revenue trajectory and expansion dynamics), Quality (margin structure and capital efficiency), Valuation (peer-relative pricing on standard multiples), and Stability (earnings consistency and financial predictability). Each dimension is scored 0–100 relative to the peer group, then combined into an overall peer score using equal weighting.

Because scores are peer-relative, the same company can have slightly different scores in different index universes. On comparison pages, both companies are shown within their shared peer universe wherever possible — so the scores are directly comparable. The peer basis is stated on each score card.

Scores are recalculated periodically as underlying financial data is updated. All analysis is descriptive and rule-based — AssetNext describes structural realities and never issues buy, sell or hold recommendations.