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Stock Comparison · Structural lead, mixed market

ArcelorMittal vs UPM-Kymmene Oyj: Which Stock Looks Stronger in 2026?

The structural profiles are close, with UPM-Kymmene Oyj carrying a narrow edge on stability. ArcelorMittal still has the edge on valuation, which keeps the comparison from looking entirely one-sided. In the market, ArcelorMittal carries the stronger setup — intact trend against UPM-Kymmene Oyj's broken trend. That leaves a split case: the structural lead stays with UPM-Kymmene Oyj, but the market is not currently confirming it.

The comparison is based on similar long-term financial trajectories, not sector labels. Both peer scores are relative to the STOXX 600 universe, making them directly comparable.

Updated 2026-07-05

The clearest separation starts in stability, with growth adding a second layer of support.

Trajectory Similarity
0.77
Similar
Peer-set rank: #12
within ArcelorMittal S.A.'s functional peer set

This comparison is anchored in long-term financial trajectory similarity within the selected peer universe.

The pair sits on a clearly comparable long-term path, though it is not a near-twin match.

The match is driven mainly by revenue stability and margin trend.

Similarity drivers
revenue stabilitymargin trend
How to read the score
0.85–1.00 · Very similar0.70–0.84 · Similar0.55–0.69 · Moderately similarbelow 0.55 · Loose match
Peer-Relative Score
MT.AS
ArcelorMittal S.A.
56
Peer-Score
Signal qualitylow
Peer basis: STOXX 600
vs
UPM.HE
UPM-Kymmene Oyj
60
Peer-Score
Signal qualityMedium
Peer basis: STOXX 600

Scores reflect position relative to comparable companies with similar long-term financial trajectories.

The largest gaps do not all point in the same direction.

Dimension spread: MT.AS vs UPM.HE Profitability 61 59 Stability 37 70 Valuation 70 54 Growth 47 62 MT.AS UPM.HE
Gap Ranking
#1 Stability +33
#2 Valuation +16
#3 Growth +15
#4 Profitability +2
Price Setup

Left means cheaper relative valuation. Higher means stronger structure.

Price setup map for MT.AS and UPM.HE Stronger + cheaper Stronger + richer Weaker + cheaper Weaker + richer MT.ASUPM.HE Relative valuation Structural strength

UPM-Kymmene Oyj occupies the cheaper side of the setup map, although ArcelorMittal S.A. still holds the stronger structural profile.

Valuation position uses peer-relative PE percentile (idx_pct_pe) where available.

Entry today — historical context

Where MT.AS and UPM.HE each sit in their own 5-year price and valuation history.

BASED ON 5-YEAR HISTORY MT.AS Elevated · near norm 0th 50th 100th 83 pct gap UPM.HE Lower · below norm 0th 50th 100th 99th 16th
Today UPM.HE sits in the lower portion of its own 5-year history (16th percentile), while MT.AS sits higher in its own history (99th). Within each stock's own 5-year context, UPM.HE is at a historically more favourable entry position than MT.AS. This reflects entry timing, not which company is structurally stronger — peer-relative analysis is a separate question addressed above.

Describes historical entry positioning only. Descriptive — not investment advice.

Relative Position vs Comparable Companies
Stability
On stability, UPM-Kymmene Oyj ranks near the top of the group; ArcelorMittal S.A. sits in the weaker half.
Valuation
On valuation, the edge still sits with ArcelorMittal S.A., even though both profiles look solid.
Stability — Dominant Gap
MT.AS
37
UPM.HE
70
Gap+33in favour of UPM.HE

The stability gap is wide, with the stronger side looking materially steadier through time.

What keeps the gap from being one-sided

Absolute pricing still looks more supportive for ArcelorMittal, with a forward P/E that is 2.3 turns lower there.

What this means for the comparison

Stability gives UPM-Kymmene Oyj the clearer edge, even though valuation and the price setup keep the overall picture from looking clean.

Explore full peer positioning in AssetNext

Break down the MT.AS vs UPM.HE comparison across all dimensions with the full interactive tool.

Explore full breakdown →
Similar stability-driven comparisons

Explore how MT.AS and UPM.HE each compare against other companies in their peer groups.

Rule-based, descriptive analysis only. Derived from peer percentile dimensions. Not investment advice. Peer groups are determined algorithmically based on structural similarity — not by sector classification alone.

How AssetNext Peer Scores Work

AssetNext scores reflect each company's structural position within its functional peer group — not a ranking against all stocks simultaneously. Peers are identified by similarity across eight financial dimensions, including revenue growth trajectory, margin structure, capital intensity, and earnings stability. A score of 75 means the company ranks in the top quartile within its own peer group, not the entire market.

Four dimension scores drive the overall peer score: Growth (revenue trajectory and expansion dynamics), Quality (margin structure and capital efficiency), Valuation (peer-relative pricing on standard multiples), and Stability (earnings consistency and financial predictability). Each dimension is scored 0–100 relative to the peer group, then combined into an overall peer score using equal weighting.

Because scores are peer-relative, the same company can have slightly different scores in different index universes. On comparison pages, both companies are shown within their shared peer universe wherever possible — so the scores are directly comparable. The peer basis is stated on each score card.

Scores are recalculated periodically as underlying financial data is updated. All analysis is descriptive and rule-based — AssetNext describes structural realities and never issues buy, sell or hold recommendations.