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Stock Comparison · Structural lead, mixed market

Amcor vs NRG Energy: Which Stock Looks Stronger in 2026?

Amcor holds the cleaner structural position, with valuation as the main driver and growth adding further support. NRG Energy still has the edge on profitability, which keeps the comparison from looking entirely one-sided. Both sides have seen trend damage — neither carries a clear market edge right now. With both trends damaged, the structural comparison carries most of the weight here.

The comparison is based on similar long-term financial trajectories, not sector labels. Both peer scores are relative to the S&P 500 universe, making them directly comparable.

Updated 2026-05-17

The lead is spread across valuation and growth, rather than sitting in one isolated gap. Amcor plc leads by 14 points on the overall comparison score.

Trajectory Similarity
0.71
Similar
Peer-set rank: #11
within NRG Energy, Inc.'s functional peer set

These two companies are linked by measured long-term financial trajectory similarity within the selected peer universe.

This level of similarity signals a strong structural match, even though some dimensions still separate the two companies.

The strongest overlap appears in investment intensity and revenue growth trajectory.

Similarity drivers
investment intensityrevenue growth trajectory
How to read the score
0.85–1.00 · Very similar0.70–0.84 · Similar0.55–0.69 · Moderately similarbelow 0.55 · Loose match
Peer-Relative Score
AMCR
Amcor plc
44
Peer-Score
Signal qualitylow
Peer basis: S&P 500
vs
NRG
NRG Energy, Inc.
30
Peer-Score
Signal qualitylow
Peer basis: S&P 500

Scores reflect position relative to comparable companies with similar long-term financial trajectories.

The largest gaps do not all point in the same direction.

Dimension spread: AMCR vs NRG Profitability 16 31 Stability 60 45 Valuation 55 12 Growth 55 40 AMCR NRG
Gap Ranking
#1 Valuation +43
#2 Growth +15
#3 Profitability +15
#4 Stability +15
Price Setup

Left means cheaper relative valuation. Higher means stronger structure.

Price setup map for AMCR and NRG Stronger + cheaper Stronger + richer Weaker + cheaper Weaker + richer AMCRNRG Relative valuation Structural strength

Amcor plc and NRG Energy, Inc. look relatively close on structure, but the price setup still leans toward Amcor plc.

Valuation position uses peer-relative PE percentile (idx_pct_pe) where available.

Entry today — historical context

Where AMCR and NRG each sit in their own 5-year price and valuation history.

BASED ON 5-YEAR HISTORY AMCR Lower · above norm 0th 50th 100th 79 pct gap NRG Elevated · above norm 0th 50th 100th 1st 80th
Today AMCR sits in the lower portion of its own 5-year history (1st percentile), while NRG sits higher in its own history (80th). Within each stock's own 5-year context, AMCR is at a historically more favourable entry position than NRG. This reflects entry timing, not which company is structurally stronger — peer-relative analysis is a separate question addressed above.

Describes historical entry positioning only. Descriptive — not investment advice.

Relative Position vs Comparable Companies
Valuation
On valuation, Amcor plc is positioned higher in the group, while NRG Energy, Inc. is closer to the middle.
Growth
Both look solid on growth, though Amcor plc still holds the stronger peer position.
Valuation — Dominant Gap
AMCR
55
NRG
12
Gap+43in favour of AMCR

The multiple-based pricing edge comes from a forward P/E that is 2.7 turns lower.

What else supports the lead

Growth adds another layer to the lead, with a very wide gap in revenue growth between the two companies.

What this means for the comparison

Valuation is the clearest driver of the lead, with growth adding further support — though profitability still provides a real counterweight.

Explore full peer positioning in AssetNext

Break down the AMCR vs NRG comparison across all dimensions with the full interactive tool.

Explore full breakdown →
Similar valuation-driven comparisons

Explore how AMCR and NRG each compare against other companies in their peer groups.

Rule-based, descriptive analysis only. Derived from peer percentile dimensions. Not investment advice. Peer groups are determined algorithmically based on structural similarity — not by sector classification alone.

How AssetNext Peer Scores Work

AssetNext scores reflect each company's structural position within its functional peer group — not a ranking against all stocks simultaneously. Peers are identified by similarity across eight financial dimensions, including revenue growth trajectory, margin structure, capital intensity, and earnings stability. A score of 75 means the company ranks in the top quartile within its own peer group, not the entire market.

Four dimension scores drive the overall peer score: Growth (revenue trajectory and expansion dynamics), Quality (margin structure and capital efficiency), Valuation (peer-relative pricing on standard multiples), and Stability (earnings consistency and financial predictability). Each dimension is scored 0–100 relative to the peer group, then combined into an overall peer score using equal weighting.

Because scores are peer-relative, the same company can have slightly different scores in different index universes. On comparison pages, both companies are shown within their shared peer universe wherever possible — so the scores are directly comparable. The peer basis is stated on each score card.

Scores are recalculated periodically as underlying financial data is updated. All analysis is descriptive and rule-based — AssetNext describes structural realities and never issues buy, sell or hold recommendations.